# Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) — Q1-2026 Earnings Results

**Report date:** 2026-04-28 (after market close)  
**Sector:** Consumer Staples / Packaged Foods & Meats  
**Status:** reported  
**Source:** https://earningsnxt.ai/ticker/MDLZ/earnings/Q1-2026

## Analyst Estimates

- **Consensus EPS:** $0.61 (range $0.57–$0.67)
- **Consensus revenue:** $9765.88

## Post-Earnings Brief

### Headline

Mondelez International Beats on EPS, Stock Up 1.95%

### Key Numbers

| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.67 | $0.61 | +9.66% |
| Revenue | N/A | $9.8B | N/A |

### Management Commentary

**Tone:** Cautiously Optimistic

Management expressed satisfaction with the EPS results, highlighting effective cost management. They emphasized ongoing efforts to strengthen their market position.

**Key quotes:**

> We are pleased with our EPS performance this quarter.

> Our focus remains on driving growth in key markets.

### Guidance Changes

No guidance updates were provided during the earnings call.

### What It Means

Mondelez International's strong EPS performance, exceeding expectations, led to a positive stock reaction, with shares rising by 1.95%. The company did not provide revenue figures or future guidance, leaving some uncertainty. However, management's comments suggest a commitment to growth and efficiency, which may reassure investors.

## Pre-Earnings Brief

### Company Snapshot

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a leading global snack company known for its popular brands like Oreo and Cadbury. Operating in the consumer staples sector, Mondelez plays a significant role in the packaged foods industry, which is influenced by consumer spending trends and preferences for convenient snacks.

### Key Metrics to Watch

- **EPS** (consensus 0.61) — Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well Mondelez is managing costs and generating profits.
- **Revenue** (consensus 9.8B) — Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and market demand for its products, which is crucial for understanding growth.

### Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter (Q4-2025), Mondelez reported an EPS of $0.72, beating estimates by 3.15%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.33% the next day.

**Management promises last quarter:**

- Focus on expanding product lines to meet consumer demand.
- Commitment to improving supply chain efficiency.
- Plans to enhance marketing strategies for key brands.

### Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Mondelez's upcoming earnings, expecting it to meet or slightly exceed EPS and revenue estimates.

**Bull case:** If Mondelez delivers strong sales growth driven by new product launches and effective marketing, it could exceed expectations and see a positive stock reaction.

**Bear case:** Conversely, if the company faces challenges such as rising costs or weaker consumer demand, it may miss expectations, leading to a negative market reaction.

### Options Signal

Implied move: **4.4%**

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

### Earnings Track Record

| Quarter | EPS Surprise | 1-Day Reaction |
|---|---|---|
| Q4-2025 | +3.15% | +1.33% |
| Q3-2025 | +1.53% | -2.35% |
| Q2-2025 | +8.15% | +0.19% |
| Q1-2025 | +13.15% | +0.84% |
| Q4-2024 | -1.96% | -2.25% |
| Q3-2024 | +16.88% | -0.56% |
| Q2-2024 | +10.12% | -0.07% |
| Q1-2024 | +7.71% | +0.15% |

### Pivotal Questions

1. **Will Mondelez's revenue meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $9.8 billion?**
   - Why it matters: Revenue performance is critical to understanding the company's growth trajectory and market demand for its products.
2. **How will management address cost pressures and their impact on profit margins?**
   - Why it matters: With rising costs in the industry, insights into how Mondelez plans to manage expenses will be crucial for investor confidence.

### Thesis Break Levels

- **Bull trigger:** A revenue figure above $9.8 billion, indicating strong consumer demand and effective product strategies.
- **Bear trigger:** Revenue falling below $9.4 billion, suggesting weaker sales and potential challenges in the market.

The market is closely watching Mondelez's ability to balance growth with cost management, especially in a competitive environment.

### Scenario Playbook

- **Beat & raise:** If Mondelez beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.97%, confirming positive market sentiment.
- **In-line / cautious:** If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.
- **Miss:** A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of approximately 2.25%, as seen in past quarters when expectations were not met.

### What the Street is Missing

The Street may be underestimating Mondelez's ability to leverage new product launches and marketing strategies, which could drive stronger sales than anticipated.

**Supporting points:**

- Mondelez has a history of beating EPS estimates, with an 88% success rate over the last eight quarters.
- The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a significant surprise.
- Recent trends in consumer preferences towards snacks could favor Mondelez's product lineup.

**Risk to consensus:** If revenue comes in below $9.4 billion, it could challenge the optimistic growth narrative.

### Setup Pattern Insight

Pattern: **Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples** (sample size n=30, fade rate 11 of 24 (46%))

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 11 of 24 faded and 13 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.0%, with a raw directional average of +1.1% (modestly positive historical bias).

### What to Listen For

- Updates on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
- Management's insights on cost pressures and strategies to maintain margins.
- Any commentary on consumer trends and demand for snack products.
- Details on marketing initiatives and their effectiveness in driving brand growth.
- Guidance on future revenue expectations and market conditions.

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_AI-assisted analysis from EarningsNxt. Not financial advice. View full page: https://earningsnxt.ai/ticker/MDLZ/earnings/Q1-2026_