Materials·Aluminum·$17.4B
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.40 | N/A | -12.50% |
management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.
Alcoa Corp (AA) is a leading producer of aluminum, which is essential for various industries, including automotive, aerospace, and construction. As a key player in the materials sector, Alcoa's performance is closely tied to global demand for aluminum and trends in sustainable manufacturing.
Aluminum Prices
Aluminum prices directly impact Alcoa's revenue and profitability, making it crucial to monitor this metric.
Production Volume
The amount of aluminum produced can indicate operational efficiency and market demand.
1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
| -12.50% |
Tone: Defensive
Overall, management expressed concerns about market volatility but remains focused on internal improvements. They did not provide specific guidance for future quarters.
Management acknowledged the challenging market conditions affecting performance.
They emphasized a focus on cost management and operational efficiency.
Alcoa's earnings report indicates a miss on EPS expectations, which may raise concerns among investors about profitability in a challenging market. Despite the earnings miss, the stock saw a slight increase of 0.04%, suggesting that investors may be taking a wait-and-see approach. The lack of guidance could lead to uncertainty in future performance expectations.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
75%
Avg EPS Surprise
+36.16%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.75%
In Q4 2025, Alcoa reported an earnings surprise with an EPS of $1.26, significantly higher than expectations. However, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Alcoa's upcoming earnings, especially given the recent positive surprises. However, concerns about fluctuating aluminum prices and production costs remain prevalent.
Bull Case
If aluminum prices remain strong and production volumes increase, Alcoa could see substantial revenue growth and improved margins.
Bear Case
On the other hand, if production costs rise or aluminum prices decline, Alcoa may face challenges that could impact profitability.
Aluminum Prices
N/AAluminum prices directly impact Alcoa's revenue and profitability, making it crucial to monitor this metric.
Production Volume
N/AThe amount of aluminum produced can indicate operational efficiency and market demand.
Cost of Production
N/AUnderstanding production costs helps assess Alcoa's margins and overall financial health.
Implied Move
±12.46%
Historical Avg
±1.8%
This implied move suggests that the market anticipates significant volatility around the earnings report, which is higher than typical historical moves.
Options are pricing ±10.4% while AA has averaged ±1.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
ALBERTSONS CO SHS CL Class A
Apr 14, 2026