Consumer Discretionary·Automotive Retail·$3.9B
Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) is a leading automotive retailer in the consumer discretionary sector. The company operates a network of dealerships across the United States, selling new and used vehicles, parts, and providing maintenance services....
EPS
Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and sales.
Revenue
Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and demand for vehicles, which is essential for assessing growth.
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EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
38%
Avg EPS Surprise
+1.17%
Avg Stock Reaction
-1.55%
In the last quarter, Asbury Automotive reported an EPS of $6.67, slightly missing analyst expectations. The stock reacted negatively, declining by nearly 7% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, expecting a solid performance but with concerns about potential economic headwinds.
Bull Case
If Asbury exceeds EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for vehicles, driving the stock higher.
Bear Case
A miss on earnings or revenue could raise concerns about consumer spending and the overall health of the automotive market, leading to a stock decline.
EPS
$5.62Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and sales.
Revenue
$4.4BTotal revenue reflects the overall sales performance and demand for vehicles, which is essential for assessing growth.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $5.62?
A positive surprise in EPS could indicate stronger profitability and operational efficiency, which would likely boost investor confidence.
Q2
What is the revenue outlook compared to the consensus of $4.4B?
Revenue performance is crucial for assessing demand trends and could signal how well the company is navigating current market conditions.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the resilience of consumer demand in the automotive sector, particularly given recent trends in vehicle sales.
Supporting Evidence
Asbury's previous strong performance in Q4-2024 suggests potential for continued growth.
Recent consumer sentiment surveys indicate a willingness to spend on big-ticket items like vehicles.
The company's focus on digital sales could capture a growing segment of the market.
Key Risk
If consumer spending shows unexpected strength, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is weighing the potential for strong earnings against economic uncertainties that could impact consumer spending.
Bull Confirmed If
Earnings per share exceeding $5.62 and revenue surpassing $4.4B would confirm a strong demand outlook.
Bear Confirmed If
Earnings falling below $5.15 and revenue below $4.1B would indicate potential weakness in consumer demand.
Implied Move
±4.2%
The options market is pricing in a moderate move for ABG's stock following the earnings report, reflecting uncertainty about the results.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Asbury beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 2.77%, confirming strong demand and operational success.
In-Line / Cautious
An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors await further commentary on future growth prospects.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential drop of around 4.13%, raising concerns about consumer spending.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026