Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, May 7, 2026
EPS actual
$0.17
EPS est.
$0.10
EPS surprise
+61.90%
1-day move
-6.70%
Allegro MicroSystems reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which was a positive surprise for investors. However, the stock fell by 6.7% in reaction to the earnings report, indicating that investors may have had concerns about other aspects of the company's performance or outlook, particularly the lack of revenue data and guidance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.17 | $0.16 | +61.90% |
| Revenue | — | $236M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. (ALGM) operates in the semiconductor industry, focusing on advanced sensor and power management solutions. As technology continues to evolve, especially in areas like electric vehicles and automation, Allegro's products play a crucial role in enhancing efficiency and performance.
Last quarter
In Q3-2026, Allegro reported an EPS of $0.15, significantly beating expectations of $0.08, which led to a positive stock reaction of nearly 10%. However, revenue figures were not disclosed.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
6Q
EPS beat rate
88%
Avg EPS surprise
+308.31%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.52%
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Allegro's upcoming earnings, with expectations for both EPS and revenue to meet or slightly exceed consensus estimates. The company's recent performance has set a positive tone.
Bull case
If Allegro beats EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, particularly in high-growth sectors like electric vehicles.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about market demand and competitive pressures.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.16Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and can influence investor sentiment.
Revenue
$236MRevenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and meet demand.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Allegro's EPS exceed $0.16, and how does this compare to previous quarters?
A strong EPS could reinforce positive market sentiment and validate the company's growth strategy.
Q2
What guidance will Allegro provide for revenue growth in the next quarter?
Guidance on revenue will be critical for assessing future performance and market demand.
—
Est. EPS
$-0.76
Est. Rev
$192M
Impl. Move
±7.5%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Allegro's growth potential in the electric vehicle sector, which could drive higher-than-expected revenue.
Supporting evidence
Allegro's recent product innovations position it well in a rapidly growing market.
The company's strong track record of beating EPS estimates suggests it may outperform expectations again.
Options pricing indicates higher volatility, suggesting that investors anticipate significant news.
Key risk
If the revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could shift market sentiment significantly.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will be closely watched as it could indicate the company's ability to capitalize on growth opportunities in the semiconductor market.
Bull confirmed if
Earnings per share exceeding $0.16 with revenue above $236M would confirm strong demand and growth.
Bear confirmed if
Earnings falling below $0.16 or revenue under $235M would raise concerns about market conditions.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±12.23%
Historical Avg
±6.4%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±13.9% while ALGM has averaged ±6.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.1%
30d HV
66.0%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Semiconductors
Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.9%, with a raw directional average of +0.9% (modestly positive historical bias).
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$146,751.15
3,285 sh
2 insiders
Net
$146,751.15
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 2 open-market trades
$101,431.15
Net selling
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
80.76%
of float
Insider
32.54%
of float
Holders
520
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
FMR, LLC
25,581,021 sh · $947.3M
13.72%
-6.7%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Allegro beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.35%, confirming strong demand.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further commentary.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a possible decline of approximately 7.26%, raising concerns about future growth.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
$45,320.00
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Aug 10, 2026 · @ $44.39
2,285 sh
$101,431.15
Aug 17, 2026 · @ $45.32
1,000 sh
$45,320.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
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12,006,396 sh · $444.6M
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13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.