Equity Profile

AMP

Ameriprise Financial, Inc.

FinancialsAsset Management & Custody Banks$50.4B

Jul23Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) operates in the financial sector, focusing on asset management and custody banking....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Ameriprise has managed its costs and revenue.

Not available

Assets Under Management (AUM)

AUM reflects the total market value of assets that Ameriprise manages on behalf of clients, indicating growth and investor confidence.

Not available

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMP Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) operates in the financial sector, focusing on asset management and custody banking. The company provides financial planning, investment management, and insurance services, making it an important player in helping individuals and businesses manage their wealth.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+3.85%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.56%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Ameriprise reported an EPS of $11.26, exceeding estimates by 10.45%. However, the stock dropped 1.90% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions despite the positive earnings surprise.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, given Ameriprise's history of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of analyst estimates this quarter adds uncertainty.

Bull Case

If Ameriprise continues its trend of strong EPS growth and reports solid asset management performance, the stock could see significant upward movement.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or reports weaker-than-expected AUM growth, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the reported EPS for Q2-2026?

Given Ameriprise's strong EPS history, this number will be crucial in assessing the company's performance and market confidence.

How much growth in Assets Under Management (AUM) will be reported?

AUM growth is vital for understanding the company's ability to attract and retain clients, which directly impacts future revenue.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Ameriprise's ability to leverage its strong client relationships for AUM growth, especially in a rising interest rate environment.

Supporting Evidence

Ameriprise has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting strong operational management.

The options market indicates high volatility, which could reflect underlying confidence in a positive surprise.

Recent trends in the financial sector show increased client investments, which may not be fully captured in current estimates.

Key Risk

If AUM growth significantly exceeds expectations, it could shift market sentiment dramatically.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's focus is on how well Ameriprise can maintain its profitability and growth in a competitive market.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $12.00 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $10.00 would confirm the bear case, suggesting significant challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.7%

Historical Avg

±2.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 12.7%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±12.7% while AMP has averaged ±2.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

22.0%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 0.39Puts (600)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Ameriprise beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.12% on the first day.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may react neutrally or slightly down.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of about 0.18% on the first day.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on AUM growth and net new flows.
2Any updates on new financial products or services being launched.
3Management's outlook on market conditions and client sentiment.
4Insights into cost management and operational efficiency.
5Responses to any recent regulatory changes affecting the financial sector.

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Company Snapshot

Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) operates in the financial sector, focusing on asset management and custody banking....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Ameriprise has managed its costs and revenue.

Not available

Assets Under Management (AUM)

AUM reflects the total market value of assets that Ameriprise manages on behalf of clients, indicating growth and investor confidence.

Not available

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMP Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+3.85%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.56%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, given Ameriprise's history of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of analyst estimates this quarter adds uncertainty.

Bull Case

If Ameriprise continues its trend of strong EPS growth and reports solid asset management performance, the stock could see significant upward movement.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or reports weaker-than-expected AUM growth, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the reported EPS for Q2-2026?

Given Ameriprise's strong EPS history, this number will be crucial in assessing the company's performance and market confidence.

How much growth in Assets Under Management (AUM) will be reported?

AUM growth is vital for understanding the company's ability to attract and retain clients, which directly impacts future revenue.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Ameriprise's ability to leverage its strong client relationships for AUM growth, especially in a rising interest rate environment.

Supporting Evidence

Ameriprise has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting strong operational management.

The options market indicates high volatility, which could reflect underlying confidence in a positive surprise.

Recent trends in the financial sector show increased client investments, which may not be fully captured in current estimates.

Key Risk

If AUM growth significantly exceeds expectations, it could shift market sentiment dramatically.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's focus is on how well Ameriprise can maintain its profitability and growth in a competitive market.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $12.00 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $10.00 would confirm the bear case, suggesting significant challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.7%

Historical Avg

±2.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 12.7%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±12.7% while AMP has averaged ±2.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

22.0%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 0.39Puts (600)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Ameriprise beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.12% on the first day.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may react neutrally or slightly down.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of about 0.18% on the first day.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on AUM growth and net new flows.
2Any updates on new financial products or services being launched.
3Management's outlook on market conditions and client sentiment.
4Insights into cost management and operational efficiency.
5Responses to any recent regulatory changes affecting the financial sector.