Equity Profile
Pre-Earnings Brief
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is a leading global retailer known for its e-commerce platform, cloud computing services, and digital streaming....
E-commerce Sales Growth
This metric indicates how well Amazon's online retail business is performing, which is crucial for its overall revenue.
AWS Revenue
Amazon Web Services (AWS) is a significant profit driver for the company, and its growth is essential for sustaining margins.
1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
1Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+25.97%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.66%
In Q1 2026, Amazon reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $2.78, significantly beating expectations by 74.29%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.29% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, expectations for Amazon's upcoming earnings are mixed, with some analysts optimistic about e-commerce recovery while others are cautious about rising costs.
Bull Case
If Amazon shows strong e-commerce sales and AWS growth, it could signal a robust recovery in consumer spending, driving the stock higher.
Bear Case
Conversely, if rising costs and supply chain issues are highlighted, it may lead to concerns about profitability, resulting in a negative market reaction.
E-commerce Sales Growth
N/AThis metric indicates how well Amazon's online retail business is performing, which is crucial for its overall revenue.
AWS Revenue
N/AAmazon Web Services (AWS) is a significant profit driver for the company, and its growth is essential for sustaining margins.
Prime Membership Growth
N/AThe number of Prime members affects customer loyalty and spending, making it a key indicator of future revenue potential.
Expectations
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What is the growth rate of AWS revenue this quarter?
AWS is a critical profit center for Amazon, and its growth rate will heavily influence investor sentiment.
Q2
How many new Prime members were added in the last quarter?
Prime membership growth is vital for driving customer loyalty and repeat purchases, impacting future revenue.
Edge
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate the resilience of Amazon's e-commerce segment, which could outperform expectations despite economic headwinds.
Supporting Evidence
Recent data shows increased consumer spending in online retail, suggesting a rebound.
Insider selling activity may indicate confidence in the company's long-term strategy despite short-term fluctuations.
Key Risk
If AWS revenue comes in below $20B, it could challenge the narrative of sustained growth.
Edge
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate this quarter revolves around Amazon's ability to maintain its growth trajectory amidst economic challenges.
Bull Confirmed If
AWS revenue growth of 20% or better would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
Any decline in e-commerce sales growth below 5% would confirm the bear case.
Pre-Earnings Positioning
Implied Move
±3.65%
Historical Avg
±2.5%
The options market is pricing in a move of approximately 3.65%, suggesting investors anticipate some volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±3.6% while AMZN has averaged ±2.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.3%
30d HV
31.5%
Edge
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$12.9M
51,500 sh
2 insiders
Net
$12.9M
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 2 open-market trades
$7.9M
Net selling
$5.0M
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Apr 17, 2026 · @ $255.00
31,000 sh
$7.9M
Apr 14, 2026 · @ $245.00
20,500 sh
$5.0M
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Preparation
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Amazon beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a positive reaction, potentially around a 1.13% gain.
In-Line / Cautious
A cautious in-line report could lead to muted reactions as investors weigh future growth prospects.
Miss
If Amazon misses expectations, history suggests a negative reaction, potentially around a 4.42% decline.
Preparation
House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
23
14 buys·9 sells
Members
9
House + Senate
Est. Notional
$1.7M–$6.8M
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
9 trades
Mixed
3 trades
Mixed
3 trades
Net buying
3 trades
Mixed
Recent Transactions
Traded Mar 30, 2026 · disclosed Apr 3, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Mar 16, 2026 · disclosed Mar 31, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.
Preparation
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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Kilroy Realty Corporation
Traded Mar 16, 2026 · disclosed Apr 7, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Mar 16, 2026 · disclosed Apr 7, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Mar 13, 2026 · disclosed Apr 7, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00