Financials·Asset Management & Custody Banks·$26.0B
ARES MGMT CORP Class A is a financial services company that specializes in asset management and custody banking. With a market cap of $26 billion, it plays a significant role in managing investments for various clients, including institutions and individuals, which is crucial in today's fluctuating economic environment.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.
Revenue
Revenue figures provide insight into the company's overall sales performance and growth trajectory.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
25%
Avg EPS Surprise
-38.13%
Avg Stock Reaction
-2.06%
In the last quarter, ARES reported an EPS of $0.08, significantly missing the expected $1.71, which led to an 11.19% drop in stock price the following day. This disappointing performance raises concerns about the company's ability to meet expectations moving forward.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about ARES's upcoming earnings, with expectations set at $1.33 EPS and $1.1 billion in revenue. However, given the recent earnings miss, there is a heightened sense of uncertainty.
Bull Case
If ARES can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround in performance, boosting investor confidence.
Bear Case
Conversely, another earnings miss could further erode trust in management's ability to deliver, leading to a significant decline in stock price.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$1.33EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.
Revenue
$1.1BRevenue figures provide insight into the company's overall sales performance and growth trajectory.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will ARES achieve an EPS of at least $1.33 this quarter?
This figure is critical as it will determine if the company can regain investor confidence after recent misses.
Q2
What factors contributed to the significant earnings miss last quarter?
Understanding the reasons behind the previous miss will help investors gauge whether the company is on a path to recovery or facing ongoing challenges.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating ARES's potential for a rebound given the recent strategic shifts in management and market conditions.
Supporting Evidence
Despite the recent earnings miss, ARES has a history of bouncing back from poor quarters.
The options market suggests a significant move, indicating that traders are expecting a surprise, either positive or negative.
The low put/call ratio indicates that investors are leaning towards a bullish outlook.
Key Risk
If ARES can provide a clear narrative on how it plans to improve performance, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The upcoming earnings report is crucial for ARES, as it needs to demonstrate improvement after a series of disappointing results.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $1.40 or higher would confirm a strong recovery and positive momentum.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $1.19 would reinforce concerns about the company's performance and management effectiveness.
Implied Move
±13.8%
Historical Avg
±4.4%
The options market is pricing in a substantial move, indicating that investors expect significant volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±13.8% while ARES has averaged ±4.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If ARES beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.5%, which would confirm a positive turnaround.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 3.9%, reinforcing negative sentiment around the company's performance.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
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