Equity Profile

AUGO

Aura Minerals Inc.

MaterialsGold$4.5B

May6Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Aura Minerals Inc. is a materials company focused on gold mining....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating profits.

$2.18

Revenue

Revenue reflects the total income generated from operations, and meeting or exceeding expectations can indicate strong demand for their products.

$525M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AUGO Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Aura Minerals Inc. is a materials company focused on gold mining. With a market cap of $4 billion, it plays a significant role in the gold industry, which is influenced by global economic conditions and investor demand for precious metals.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-92.78%

Avg Stock Reaction

-4.13%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2025, Aura Minerals reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly below the expected $0.97, leading to a stock drop of 4.13% the following day. Revenue figures were not disclosed, contributing to uncertainty about the company's performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect a rebound in earnings with a consensus EPS of $2.18 and revenue of $525 million for Q1-2026. The market will be closely watching if the company can deliver on these expectations after a disappointing previous quarter.

Bull Case

If Aura Minerals meets or exceeds the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal a strong recovery and boost investor confidence, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it may raise concerns about its operational efficiency and future profitability, potentially leading to a further decline in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$2.18

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating profits.

Revenue

$525M

Revenue reflects the total income generated from operations, and meeting or exceeding expectations can indicate strong demand for their products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $2.18?

This number is crucial for assessing the company's recovery from last quarter's disappointing results and will heavily influence market sentiment.

What are the revenue figures for this quarter compared to the consensus of $525 million?

Revenue performance is a key indicator of demand for gold and operational success, and any significant deviation could impact future guidance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may be overly optimistic about the company's recovery, as last quarter's significant miss suggests deeper operational issues that could persist.

Supporting Evidence

The prior quarter's EPS was drastically below expectations, indicating potential ongoing challenges.

The lack of management guidance raises uncertainty about future performance.

Options pricing suggests a high expected move, reflecting market skepticism about achieving consensus.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $2.18, it could reinforce doubts about the company's ability to recover.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it follows a substantial earnings miss, and market expectations are high for a turnaround.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $2.18 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest a strong recovery.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS significantly below $2.18 would validate concerns about operational challenges and confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±19.5%

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, indicating that traders expect volatility based on the upcoming results.

Detail

30d HV

93.3%

Calls (15K)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (109K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Materials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 29 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Materials in the last 2 years. 18 of 29 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.5%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

26.37%

of float

Insider

47.55%

of float

Holders

198

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Capital World Investors
1,620,102 sh · $146.3M
1.93%
Flat

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Aura Minerals beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 4.13%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious commentary is provided, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess future growth prospects.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations again, history indicates a potential drop of 4.13%, raising further concerns about its operational strategy.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiencies and cost management strategies.
2Insights into gold market demand and pricing trends.
3Management's outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year.
4Details on any new projects or expansions that could drive future growth.
5Responses to analyst questions about last quarter's performance and recovery plans.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

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Company Snapshot

Aura Minerals Inc. is a materials company focused on gold mining....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating profits.

$2.18

Revenue

Revenue reflects the total income generated from operations, and meeting or exceeding expectations can indicate strong demand for their products.

$525M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AUGO Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-92.78%

Avg Stock Reaction

-4.13%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Aura Minerals meets or exceeds the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal a strong recovery and boost investor confidence, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it may raise concerns about its operational efficiency and future profitability, potentially leading to a further decline in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$2.18

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating profits.

Revenue

$525M

Revenue reflects the total income generated from operations, and meeting or exceeding expectations can indicate strong demand for their products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $2.18?

This number is crucial for assessing the company's recovery from last quarter's disappointing results and will heavily influence market sentiment.

What are the revenue figures for this quarter compared to the consensus of $525 million?

Revenue performance is a key indicator of demand for gold and operational success, and any significant deviation could impact future guidance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may be overly optimistic about the company's recovery, as last quarter's significant miss suggests deeper operational issues that could persist.

Supporting Evidence

The prior quarter's EPS was drastically below expectations, indicating potential ongoing challenges.

The lack of management guidance raises uncertainty about future performance.

Options pricing suggests a high expected move, reflecting market skepticism about achieving consensus.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $2.18, it could reinforce doubts about the company's ability to recover.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it follows a substantial earnings miss, and market expectations are high for a turnaround.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $2.18 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest a strong recovery.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS significantly below $2.18 would validate concerns about operational challenges and confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±19.5%

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, indicating that traders expect volatility based on the upcoming results.

Detail

30d HV

93.3%

Calls (15K)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (109K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Materials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 29 (38%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

26.37%

of float

Insider

47.55%

of float

Holders

198

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Capital World Investors
1,620,102 sh · $146.3M
1.93%
Flat

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Aura Minerals beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 4.13%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious commentary is provided, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess future growth prospects.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations again, history indicates a potential drop of 4.13%, raising further concerns about its operational strategy.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiencies and cost management strategies.
2Insights into gold market demand and pricing trends.
3Management's outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year.
4Details on any new projects or expansions that could drive future growth.
5Responses to analyst questions about last quarter's performance and recovery plans.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime