Equity Profile

AVA

Avista Corporation

UtilitiesMulti-Utilities$3.5B

May5Tue

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market7:05 AM EDT

Avista Corporation Beats on EPS, Stock Up 0.91%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.10	$1.01	+1.85%
Revenue	—	$641M	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Avista Corporation Beats on EPS, Stock Up 0.91%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.10	$1.01	+1.85%
Revenue	—	$641M	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

Avista Corporation reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which contributed to a slight increase in its stock price by 0.91%. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance. Investors may be encouraged by the EPS beat, but the lack of revenue data and guidance could lead to cautious sentiment moving forward.

Company Snapshot

Avista Corporation (AVA) operates in the utilities sector, providing electric and natural gas services to customers in the Pacific Northwest. As a multi-utility company, it plays a crucial role in energy supply and infrastructure, which is vital for both residential and commercial sectors, especially amid growing concerns about energy sustainability and reliability.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

$1.01

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its utility services, which is critical for assessing growth.

$641M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+10.15%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.40%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, Avista reported an EPS of $0.88, missing the consensus estimate of $1.01, which led to a 4.78% drop in stock price the following day. The company continues to face challenges in meeting earnings expectations.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Avista's upcoming earnings, expecting a recovery in EPS and stable revenue. However, the company has struggled with earnings surprises in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If Avista can meet or exceed the EPS estimate of $1.01, it could signal a turnaround in performance, potentially boosting investor confidence and stock price.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses its EPS target again, it may raise concerns about its operational efficiency and long-term growth prospects, leading to further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.01

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

$641M

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its utility services, which is critical for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Avista achieve an EPS of at least $1.01 this quarter?

Meeting or exceeding this EPS target is crucial for restoring investor confidence after recent earnings misses.

What factors contributed to the revenue forecast of $641M?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue expectations will help investors assess the company's growth potential and operational efficiency.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for Avista to recover from past misses, as recent operational adjustments could lead to better-than-expected results this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Avista's historical average EPS surprise rate is 43%, indicating potential for positive surprises.

Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, hinting at market uncertainty.

The company has shown resilience in past quarters, bouncing back from earnings misses.

Key Risk

If Avista's operational improvements lead to an EPS above $1.01, it could significantly challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter is critical for Avista as it seeks to recover from a series of earnings misses and demonstrate improved financial health.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $1.01 or higher would confirm a positive shift in earnings performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.98 would reinforce concerns about the company's ability to manage costs and generate profit.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.38%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 3.38% in either direction, indicating uncertainty around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±3.1% while AVA has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

18.1%

Calls (300)P/C Ratio: 2.67Puts (800)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Avista beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.15%, confirming a positive trend in earnings.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting ongoing investor uncertainty.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of approximately 1.89%, signaling continued operational challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
2Any updates on regulatory changes affecting utility operations.
3Insights into customer growth and retention rates in the utility sector.
4Management's outlook on future energy demand and pricing strategies.
5Discussion on investments in sustainable energy initiatives.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

$1.01

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its utility services, which is critical for assessing growth.

$641M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+10.15%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.40%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Avista's upcoming earnings, expecting a recovery in EPS and stable revenue. However, the company has struggled with earnings surprises in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If Avista can meet or exceed the EPS estimate of $1.01, it could signal a turnaround in performance, potentially boosting investor confidence and stock price.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses its EPS target again, it may raise concerns about its operational efficiency and long-term growth prospects, leading to further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.01

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

$641M

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its utility services, which is critical for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Avista achieve an EPS of at least $1.01 this quarter?

Meeting or exceeding this EPS target is crucial for restoring investor confidence after recent earnings misses.

What factors contributed to the revenue forecast of $641M?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue expectations will help investors assess the company's growth potential and operational efficiency.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for Avista to recover from past misses, as recent operational adjustments could lead to better-than-expected results this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Avista's historical average EPS surprise rate is 43%, indicating potential for positive surprises.

Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, hinting at market uncertainty.

The company has shown resilience in past quarters, bouncing back from earnings misses.

Key Risk

If Avista's operational improvements lead to an EPS above $1.01, it could significantly challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter is critical for Avista as it seeks to recover from a series of earnings misses and demonstrate improved financial health.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $1.01 or higher would confirm a positive shift in earnings performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.98 would reinforce concerns about the company's ability to manage costs and generate profit.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.38%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 3.38% in either direction, indicating uncertainty around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±3.1% while AVA has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

18.1%

Calls (300)P/C Ratio: 2.67Puts (800)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Avista beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.15%, confirming a positive trend in earnings.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting ongoing investor uncertainty.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of approximately 1.89%, signaling continued operational challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
2Any updates on regulatory changes affecting utility operations.
3Insights into customer growth and retention rates in the utility sector.
4Management's outlook on future energy demand and pricing strategies.
5Discussion on investments in sustainable energy initiatives.