Equity Profile

AVA

Avista Corporation

UtilitiesMulti-Utilities$3.5B

Aug5Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Avista Corporation (AVA) operates in the utilities sector, providing electricity and natural gas services. As a multi-utility company, it plays a critical role in energy supply and infrastructure, which is essential for both residential and commercial customers.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health. Investors will be looking for signs of growth or decline.

$1.10

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its customer base and service offerings, which is vital for long-term sustainability.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AVA Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+10.15%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.40%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Avista reported an EPS of $1.10, slightly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.91% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations for Avista's upcoming earnings are mixed, with no analyst estimates available. Investors are cautious given the company's recent performance history.

Bull Case

If Avista can demonstrate strong customer growth and maintain or improve its EPS, it could signal a robust recovery and positive momentum for the stock.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or shows signs of declining revenue, it could lead to further stock price pressure.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$1.10

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health. Investors will be looking for signs of growth or decline.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its customer base and service offerings, which is vital for long-term sustainability.

Customer Growth

N/A

An increase in customer numbers can indicate strong demand for Avista's services, which is crucial for future earnings.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure is crucial as it directly impacts investor sentiment and stock performance.

How many new customers did Avista acquire this quarter?

Customer growth is a key indicator of the company's market position and future revenue potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Avista's potential for customer growth, which could drive revenue higher than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

The company's recent EPS beat suggests operational strength that could continue into the next quarter.

Options pricing indicates a higher expected move, suggesting that traders are anticipating significant developments.

Historical trends show that Avista has a 50% EPS beat rate, indicating potential for positive surprises.

Key Risk

If customer acquisition exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter revenue projections.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Avista's ability to maintain profitability and grow its customer base amid economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.00 would signal potential issues and confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±10.14%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±10.1% while AVA has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

17.6%

Calls (1K)P/C Ratio: 6.20Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Utilities

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Utilities in the last 2 years. 23 of 30 (77%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 1.5%, with a raw directional average of -0.7% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Avista beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.09%, confirming positive momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted reactions as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of about 1.89%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer acquisition numbers for the quarter.
2Details on operational efficiencies that may impact margins.
3Management's outlook on regulatory changes affecting the utility sector.
4Insights into any major capital projects or investments planned.
5Comments on competitive pressures in the utilities market.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health. Investors will be looking for signs of growth or decline.

$1.10

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its customer base and service offerings, which is vital for long-term sustainability.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AVA Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+10.15%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.40%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Avista reported an EPS of $1.10, slightly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.91% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations for Avista's upcoming earnings are mixed, with no analyst estimates available. Investors are cautious given the company's recent performance history.

Bull Case

If Avista can demonstrate strong customer growth and maintain or improve its EPS, it could signal a robust recovery and positive momentum for the stock.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or shows signs of declining revenue, it could lead to further stock price pressure.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$1.10

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health. Investors will be looking for signs of growth or decline.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its customer base and service offerings, which is vital for long-term sustainability.

Customer Growth

N/A

An increase in customer numbers can indicate strong demand for Avista's services, which is crucial for future earnings.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure is crucial as it directly impacts investor sentiment and stock performance.

How many new customers did Avista acquire this quarter?

Customer growth is a key indicator of the company's market position and future revenue potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Avista's potential for customer growth, which could drive revenue higher than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

The company's recent EPS beat suggests operational strength that could continue into the next quarter.

Options pricing indicates a higher expected move, suggesting that traders are anticipating significant developments.

Historical trends show that Avista has a 50% EPS beat rate, indicating potential for positive surprises.

Key Risk

If customer acquisition exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter revenue projections.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Avista's ability to maintain profitability and grow its customer base amid economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.00 would signal potential issues and confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±10.14%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±10.1% while AVA has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

17.6%

Calls (1K)P/C Ratio: 6.20Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Utilities

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Avista beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.09%, confirming positive momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted reactions as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of about 1.89%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer acquisition numbers for the quarter.
2Details on operational efficiencies that may impact margins.
3Management's outlook on regulatory changes affecting the utility sector.
4Insights into any major capital projects or investments planned.
5Comments on competitive pressures in the utilities market.