Pre-earnings brief
Reports
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
Est. EPS
—
Est. revenue
—
Implied move
±20.5%
EPS beat rate
25%
BETA Technologies, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on innovative technologies for electric aviation. As the demand for sustainable transportation grows, BETA's advancements could play a significant role in shaping the future of air travel.
Last quarter
In Q2-2026, BETA reported an EPS of -$0.64, missing estimates by 8.47%. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 3.29% the following day.
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
25%
Avg EPS surprise
-72.08%
Avg 1-day reaction
+1.80%
Investors are cautious ahead of BETA's earnings, given the recent history of missed expectations. The market is watching closely for any signs of improvement in profitability.
Bull case
If BETA can show a significant reduction in losses or even a surprise profit, it could boost investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
Continued losses or a lack of clear guidance on future profitability may lead to further declines in stock price, especially given the recent performance.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What is the expected EPS for this quarter, and how does it compare to previous quarters?
The EPS figure will be crucial in assessing whether BETA is making progress towards profitability, which is a key concern for investors.
Q2
What revenue growth can BETA report, and how does it align with market expectations?
Revenue growth will indicate demand for BETA's products and services, which is essential for future sustainability and investor confidence.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±16.1%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be overly pessimistic about BETA's ability to recover, given the recent focus on sustainability in aviation and potential government support for electric aircraft.
Supporting evidence
Options are pricing a 20.49% move, suggesting significant uncertainty that may not reflect the underlying business improvements.
The historical average move is only 4.74%, indicating that the current options pricing may be too high relative to past performance.
Key risk
If BETA reports an EPS improvement to -$0.50 or better, it could shift the narrative towards a recovery.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether BETA can turn its financial performance around after a series of disappointing earnings.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS improvement to -$0.50 or better would indicate a positive trend in cost management and operational efficiency.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS of -$0.80 or worse would confirm ongoing struggles and could lead to further stock declines.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±20.49%
Historical Avg
±4.7%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating heightened uncertainty or anticipation around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±20.5% while BETA has averaged ±4.7% over the last 4 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.7%
30d HV
65.8%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Industrials
Fade rate: 14 of 30 (47%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 14 of 30 faded and 16 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.3%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$2.0M
90,000 sh
1 insider
Net
$2.0M
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 9 open-market trades
$2.0M
Net selling
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If BETA beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise around 4.32% as confidence in recovery strengthens.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but cautious, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer guidance.
Miss
If BETA misses expectations, the stock could drop by about 4.32%, reflecting ongoing concerns about profitability.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Recent Transactions
Sep 25, 2026 · @ $24.15
10,000 sh
$241,498.00
Sep 26, 2026 · @ $23.32
10,000 sh
$233,197.00
Sep 24, 2026 · @ $23.04
10,000 sh
$230,444.00
Sep 30, 2026 · @ $22.63
10,000 sh
$226,304.00
Sep 29, 2026 · @ $22.62
10,000 sh
$226,205.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.