Financials·Regional Banks·$2.2B
First Busey Corp (BUSE) is a regional bank that provides a range of financial services, including commercial banking, wealth management, and mortgage services. As a player in the financial sector, it is influenced by interest rates, economic conditions, and consumer spending trends.
EPS
Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and growth trajectory.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
3Q
EPS Beat Rate
75%
Avg EPS Surprise
-20.11%
Avg Stock Reaction
+1.23%
In the last quarter, First Busey Corp reported an earnings surprise of 11.84%, with an EPS of $0.68 compared to the estimate of $0.61. The stock saw a modest increase of 1.33% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect First Busey to report earnings of $0.58 per share with revenues of $197 million. The market is cautiously optimistic, given the company's recent performance.
Bull Case
If the company beats earnings expectations, it could signal strong operational efficiency and growth, potentially boosting investor confidence.
Bear Case
Conversely, if earnings fall short, it may raise concerns about the bank's ability to manage costs and generate revenue in a competitive environment.
EPS
0.58Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
197MRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and growth trajectory.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.58?
A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and may lead to a positive market reaction.
Q2
What are the revenue expectations compared to the consensus of $197 million?
Revenue performance is crucial for assessing the bank's growth and ability to attract new customers.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the bank's ability to manage costs effectively, especially given recent operational improvements.
Supporting Evidence
The bank has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, with a 75% success rate over the last eight quarters.
Recent trends in regional banking suggest a potential for revenue growth that may not be fully reflected in current estimates.
Key Risk
If the bank's revenue comes in significantly above $199 million, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is weighing the bank's ability to maintain profitability in a challenging economic environment.
Bull Confirmed If
Earnings exceeding $0.60 per share would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
Earnings falling below $0.51 per share would confirm the bear case.
Implied Move
±2.77%
Historical Avg
±1.3%
The options market is pricing in a move of about 2.77%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±2.8% while BUSE has averaged ±1.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If First Busey beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.79%, confirming positive operational trends.
In-Line / Cautious
An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors await further commentary on future growth.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential decline of about 2.56%, raising concerns about its financial health.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026