Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, Aug 5, 2026
EPS actual
$8.91
EPS est.
$7.26
EPS surprise
+22.71%
1-day move
-1.18%
CACI International Inc reported a strong EPS that exceeded expectations, indicating solid profitability. However, the stock reacted negatively, declining by 1.18%. This could suggest that investors were looking for more comprehensive insights or guidance that was not provided in the report.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $8.91 | N/A | +22.71% |
| Revenue | N/A | N/A | N/A |
No transcript is on record for the earnings call, so the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
CACI International Inc is a major player in the research and consulting services sector, focusing on providing technology solutions and services to government and commercial clients. With a market cap of $15 billion, the company is well-positioned to benefit from trends in defense spending and digital transformation.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, CACI reported an EPS of $7.27, exceeding expectations by 5.36%. However, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+14.78%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.41%
Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about CACI's upcoming earnings, given its strong history of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of revenue guidance may lead to uncertainty.
Bull case
If CACI continues its trend of exceeding EPS expectations, it could signal strong operational performance and investor confidence, potentially driving the stock higher.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company fails to provide clear guidance or if the earnings miss expectations, it could lead to a negative market reaction.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What will be the EPS for Q4-2026?
Given the company's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial for investor sentiment and stock performance.
Q2
Will there be any guidance on revenue growth?
Clear revenue guidance is essential for understanding the company's future prospects and may influence market reactions significantly.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±12.7%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating CACI's ability to leverage government contracts for growth, especially given the current geopolitical climate.
Supporting evidence
CACI has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong management execution.
The options market is pricing a relatively modest move, which may not reflect the potential upside from government spending.
Recent trends in defense budgets suggest increased demand for CACI's services.
Key risk
If the EPS comes in above $7.50, it could challenge the current market expectations and drive the stock higher.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether CACI can maintain its strong earnings performance amidst potential economic headwinds.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $7.50 or higher would confirm the bull case and indicate strong operational performance.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $6.80 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about the company's growth prospects.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±2.84%
Historical Avg
±0.8%
The options market is pricing in a move of about 2.84%, suggesting that investors expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±2.8% while CACI has averaged ±0.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.4%
30d HV
30.3%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
104.75%
of float
Insider
1.17%
of float
Holders
804
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
2,177,073 sh · $1.3B
9.85%
4.3%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If CACI beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +0.68%, confirming strong operational momentum.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations but lack guidance, the stock may see muted reactions as investors weigh future growth.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline, with history suggesting an average one-day move of -2.54% when expectations are not met.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Morgan Stanley
1,170,633 sh · $681.1M
5.30%
-3.8%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
998,752 sh · $581.1M
4.52%
0.6%
Barrow, Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss, LLC
955,549 sh · $556.0M
4.32%
262.9%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
942,422 sh · $548.3M
4.26%
-0.5%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.