Equity Profile

CARR

Carrier Global Corporation

IndustrialsBuilding Products$57.0B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is a leading provider of heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration solutions. Operating in the industrials sector, the company plays a crucial role in building products, focusing on energy-efficient technologies that align with global sustainability trends.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and meet customer demand, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CARR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.81%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.29%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Carrier reported an EPS of $0.57, exceeding expectations by 12.87%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 8.79% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on enhancing energy-efficient product offerings.
Commitment to improving supply chain efficiencies.
Plans to expand into emerging markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, analysts expect Carrier to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, given its recent performance and market position.

Bull Case

If Carrier can demonstrate strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its operating margins, it could significantly boost investor confidence and drive the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet earnings expectations or shows signs of declining margins, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given Carrier's recent EPS performance, this number will be crucial in determining market sentiment and stock movement.

How is Carrier addressing supply chain challenges and their impact on revenue?

Supply chain efficiency is critical for maintaining margins and meeting customer demand, and any issues here could negatively impact the stock.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Carrier's ability to leverage its recent investments in energy-efficient technologies, which could drive higher-than-expected demand.

Supporting Evidence

The recent EPS surprise indicates strong operational execution, suggesting the company may continue this trend.

Options pricing reflects a higher expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant reaction.

Management's focus on emerging markets could provide unexpected revenue boosts.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating Carrier's ability to sustain profitability amidst supply chain pressures and competitive dynamics.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.60 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.50 would confirm the bear case, suggesting significant operational or market challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.90%

Historical Avg

±5.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.9% while CARR has averaged ±5.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

41.7%

Calls (27K)P/C Ratio: 0.71Puts (20K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 19 of 24 (79%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.6% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Carrier beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise around 1.2% on the first day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see a muted reaction.

Miss

If Carrier misses earnings expectations, history suggests a potential decline of about 4.76% on the first day, indicating investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-WARick LarsenRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on revenue growth and market expansion strategies.
2Updates on supply chain management and cost control measures.
3Insights into customer demand for energy-efficient products.
4Any commentary on competitive pressures in the building products sector.
5Management's outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and meet customer demand, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CARR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.81%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.29%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Carrier reported an EPS of $0.57, exceeding expectations by 12.87%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 8.79% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on enhancing energy-efficient product offerings.
Commitment to improving supply chain efficiencies.
Plans to expand into emerging markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, analysts expect Carrier to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, given its recent performance and market position.

Bull Case

If Carrier can demonstrate strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its operating margins, it could significantly boost investor confidence and drive the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet earnings expectations or shows signs of declining margins, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given Carrier's recent EPS performance, this number will be crucial in determining market sentiment and stock movement.

How is Carrier addressing supply chain challenges and their impact on revenue?

Supply chain efficiency is critical for maintaining margins and meeting customer demand, and any issues here could negatively impact the stock.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Carrier's ability to leverage its recent investments in energy-efficient technologies, which could drive higher-than-expected demand.

Supporting Evidence

The recent EPS surprise indicates strong operational execution, suggesting the company may continue this trend.

Options pricing reflects a higher expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant reaction.

Management's focus on emerging markets could provide unexpected revenue boosts.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating Carrier's ability to sustain profitability amidst supply chain pressures and competitive dynamics.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.60 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.50 would confirm the bear case, suggesting significant operational or market challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.90%

Historical Avg

±5.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.9% while CARR has averaged ±5.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

41.7%

Calls (27K)P/C Ratio: 0.71Puts (20K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Carrier beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise around 1.2% on the first day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see a muted reaction.

Miss

If Carrier misses earnings expectations, history suggests a potential decline of about 4.76% on the first day, indicating investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-WARick LarsenRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on revenue growth and market expansion strategies.
2Updates on supply chain management and cost control measures.
3Insights into customer demand for energy-efficient products.
4Any commentary on competitive pressures in the building products sector.
5Management's outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year.