Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, May 7, 2026
EPS actual
$0.41
EPS est.
$0.29
EPS surprise
+41.87%
1-day move
+4.45%
Celsius Holdings reported a strong earnings per share, significantly exceeding expectations, which likely contributed to the positive stock reaction of 4.45%. However, the lack of revenue data and guidance leaves some uncertainty about future performance. Investors may view the EPS beat as a positive sign of the company's profitability.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.41 | $0.30 | +41.87% |
| Revenue | — | $764M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Celsius Holdings, Inc. is a company in the consumer staples sector, focusing on the soft drinks and non-alcoholic beverages industry. They are known for their fitness drinks that are marketed as healthy energy options, appealing to health-conscious consumers and the growing trend of wellness products.
Last quarter
In Q4-2025, Celsius reported an EPS of $0.26, beating expectations by 38.3%. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 7% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
63%
Avg EPS surprise
+13.25%
Avg 1-day reaction
-2.16%
Analysts are generally optimistic about Celsius's upcoming earnings, with expectations for both EPS and revenue to meet or exceed consensus estimates.
Bull case
If Celsius can leverage its brand strength and innovative products, it may outperform expectations, leading to strong revenue growth and increased market share.
Bear case
Conversely, if sales growth slows or costs rise unexpectedly, the company could miss its targets, leading to a negative market reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.30Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.
Revenue
$764MRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.30?
A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.
Q2
What are the revenue figures compared to the consensus of $764M?
Revenue performance will reflect the effectiveness of the company's marketing and product strategies.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±6.9%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Celsius's ability to capitalize on the growing health and wellness trend, potentially leading to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.
Supporting evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational execution.
Recent trends in consumer preferences are shifting towards healthier beverage options, which Celsius is well-positioned to capture.
Key risk
If revenue growth does not meet the expected $764M, it could challenge the bullish outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will hinge on the company's ability to maintain growth in a competitive market.
Bull confirmed if
Revenue growth exceeding $764M would confirm strong demand for Celsius products.
Bear confirmed if
If EPS falls below $0.17, it could signal deeper issues with profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±12.49%
Historical Avg
±10.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move in either direction following the earnings report, indicating uncertainty among investors.
Options are pricing ±12.7% while CELH has averaged ±10.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
2.1%
30d HV
47.2%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Celsius beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise around 1.1%, confirming the company's growth trajectory.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but cautious commentary is provided, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors digest the information.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.3%, reflecting disappointment in performance.
The lines on the call that would change the story.