Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
EPS actual
$0.36
EPS est.
$0.42
EPS surprise
-15.09%
1-day move
-18.46%
Celsius Holdings reported an EPS of $0.36, slightly above expectations, but did not provide revenue figures. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 18.46%, likely due to the lack of revenue data and guidance, which may have raised concerns among investors about future performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.36 | $0.35 | -15.09% |
| Revenue | — | $799M | — |
No transcript is on record for this earnings call, so the analysis is based solely on the numerical results reported.
Celsius Holdings, Inc. is a company in the consumer staples sector, specifically focusing on soft drinks and non-alcoholic beverages. Known for its fitness drinks that promote energy and metabolism, Celsius is positioned to benefit from growing health and wellness trends among consumers.
Last quarter
In Q1 2026, Celsius reported an EPS of $0.41, significantly exceeding expectations of $0.29, which led to a positive stock reaction of 4.45% the following day. However, revenue details were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty.
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
63%
Avg EPS surprise
+13.25%
Avg 1-day reaction
-2.16%
Analysts are generally optimistic about Celsius's upcoming earnings, expecting solid EPS and revenue figures that reflect continued growth. The company has a history of beating earnings expectations, which could bolster investor confidence.
Bull case
If Celsius exceeds the consensus EPS of $0.35 and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive market reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet the EPS target or shows signs of slowing growth, it could raise concerns about its competitive position and lead to a negative stock response.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
0.35Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be looking for strong performance to validate growth expectations.
Revenue
799MRevenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's market demand and overall health, especially in a competitive beverage market.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.35?
A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's growth narrative and could lead to a positive stock reaction.
Q2
What revenue figure will Celsius report, and how does it compare to the $799M consensus?
Revenue performance is critical for assessing market demand and the company's competitive position in the beverage sector.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±10.1%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate Celsius's ability to capitalize on the growing health beverage trend, potentially leading to stronger-than-expected results.
Supporting evidence
Celsius has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating strong operational performance.
The options market is pricing a move of 6.79%, which is below the historical average of 8.51%, suggesting potential upside.
Key risk
If revenue comes in below $757M, it could undermine the bullish sentiment surrounding the stock.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's results will be closely scrutinized for signs of continued growth in a competitive beverage market.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.40 or higher, along with revenue exceeding $800M, would confirm strong market demand.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.30 or revenue significantly under $757M would raise concerns about growth sustainability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±6.79%
Historical Avg
±10.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings announcement, suggesting that investors expect volatility based on the results.
Options are pricing ±6.8% while CELH has averaged ±10.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.
ATM IV
0.7%
30d HV
53.5%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Staples
Fade rate: 8 of 27 (30%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 19 of 27 (70%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.5% (modestly positive historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Celsius beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of around +1.5%, confirming bullish sentiment.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day decline of around -0.26%, reflecting investor disappointment.
The lines on the call that would change the story.