Equity Profile

CHRD

Chord Energy Corporation

EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production$7.4B

Aug5Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Chord Energy Corporation is an energy company focused on oil and gas exploration and production. With a market cap of $7 billion, it plays a significant role in the energy sector, which is influenced by global oil prices and demand trends.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance this quarter.

N/A

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CHRD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.66%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.31%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Chord Energy reported an EPS of $4.56, exceeding expectations by 36.12%. However, the stock saw a slight decline the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Chord Energy's upcoming earnings, especially after a strong performance last quarter. However, uncertainty remains due to fluctuating oil prices.

Bull Case

If the company continues to beat EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust operational efficiency and market demand.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it may reflect challenges in the oil market and lead to a decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.

What insights can management provide about revenue trends and market conditions?

Understanding revenue trends will help gauge the company's performance and future outlook in a volatile market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of recent oil price fluctuations on Chord Energy's profitability this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing an 18.73% move, indicating significant uncertainty that may not align with historical performance.

Chord has a history of beating EPS estimates, which could lead to a positive surprise this quarter.

Recent insider selling may suggest caution, but it does not necessarily reflect the company's operational strength.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $4.00, it could challenge the current bullish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on the company's ability to navigate market challenges and deliver solid financial results.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $4.75 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $3.50 would indicate potential struggles in the current market environment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±18.73%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move for the stock, indicating heightened uncertainty or anticipation around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±18.7% while CHRD has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

45.1%

Calls (6K)P/C Ratio: 0.25Puts (6K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Energy in the last 2 years. 23 of 30 (77%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.5%, with a raw directional average of -1.4% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Chord Energy beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of -1.11%, confirming strong operational health.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting ongoing market uncertainties.

Miss

A miss could lead to a positive average one-day move of +1.01%, indicating a potential overreaction to short-term challenges.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$2,002.00–$30,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-MSMichael Patrick GuestRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on oil production levels and their impact on revenue.
2Management's commentary on cost management strategies in a fluctuating market.
3Insights into demand trends for oil and gas in key markets.
4Any guidance on future capital expenditures and investment plans.
5Discussion around geopolitical factors affecting oil prices.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance this quarter.

N/A

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CHRD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.66%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.31%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Chord Energy reported an EPS of $4.56, exceeding expectations by 36.12%. However, the stock saw a slight decline the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Chord Energy's upcoming earnings, especially after a strong performance last quarter. However, uncertainty remains due to fluctuating oil prices.

Bull Case

If the company continues to beat EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust operational efficiency and market demand.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it may reflect challenges in the oil market and lead to a decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.

What insights can management provide about revenue trends and market conditions?

Understanding revenue trends will help gauge the company's performance and future outlook in a volatile market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of recent oil price fluctuations on Chord Energy's profitability this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing an 18.73% move, indicating significant uncertainty that may not align with historical performance.

Chord has a history of beating EPS estimates, which could lead to a positive surprise this quarter.

Recent insider selling may suggest caution, but it does not necessarily reflect the company's operational strength.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $4.00, it could challenge the current bullish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on the company's ability to navigate market challenges and deliver solid financial results.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $4.75 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $3.50 would indicate potential struggles in the current market environment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±18.73%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move for the stock, indicating heightened uncertainty or anticipation around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±18.7% while CHRD has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

45.1%

Calls (6K)P/C Ratio: 0.25Puts (6K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Chord Energy beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of -1.11%, confirming strong operational health.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting ongoing market uncertainties.

Miss

A miss could lead to a positive average one-day move of +1.01%, indicating a potential overreaction to short-term challenges.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$2,002.00–$30,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-MSMichael Patrick GuestRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on oil production levels and their impact on revenue.
2Management's commentary on cost management strategies in a fluctuating market.
3Insights into demand trends for oil and gas in key markets.
4Any guidance on future capital expenditures and investment plans.
5Discussion around geopolitical factors affecting oil prices.