Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, Apr 29, 2026
EPS actual
$1.35
EPS est.
$1.25
EPS surprise
+8.43%
1-day move
-0.81%
C.H. Robinson's earnings report showed a positive surprise in EPS, indicating better-than-expected profitability. However, the stock reacted negatively, declining by 0.81%. The lack of revenue data and guidance may have contributed to investor uncertainty.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.35 | $1.23 | +8.43% |
| Revenue | N/A | $4.0B | N/A |
No transcript is on record for the earnings call, so the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is a leading logistics company that specializes in freight transportation and supply chain management. Operating in the industrials sector, it plays a crucial role in global trade by connecting shippers with carriers, making it an important player in the air freight and logistics industry.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, C.H. Robinson reported an EPS of $1.23, exceeding expectations by 9.72%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 2.14% the following day.
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+9.66%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.45%
Analysts are generally optimistic about C.H. Robinson's upcoming earnings, expecting solid EPS and revenue figures. The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters.
Bull case
If C.H. Robinson continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and demand in logistics, potentially leading to a stock price increase.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides cautious guidance, it could raise concerns about future growth and profitability, leading to a negative market reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$1.23Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance this quarter.
Revenue
$4.0BTotal revenue reflects the overall business activity and demand for logistics services, which is critical in the current economic environment.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.23?
A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could boost investor confidence.
Q2
What will management say about revenue growth expectations?
Guidance on revenue growth is crucial for understanding the demand environment and future profitability.
—
Est. EPS
$1.52
Est. Rev
$3.6B
Impl. Move
±39.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate C.H. Robinson's ability to capitalize on increasing demand for logistics services, especially in light of recent supply chain disruptions.
Supporting evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational execution.
Options pricing suggests a significant move, reflecting higher volatility expectations that may not align with conservative consensus estimates.
Key risk
If revenue growth significantly exceeds $4.0B, it could challenge the current market narrative.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is closely watching C.H. Robinson's ability to maintain its growth trajectory amid economic uncertainties.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.30 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.14 would indicate potential challenges in meeting market expectations.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±10.02%
Historical Avg
±1.6%
The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, indicating that traders expect volatility.
Options are pricing ±10.0% while CHRW has averaged ±1.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.6%
30d HV
34.0%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
106.40%
of float
Insider
0.35%
of float
Holders
1,264
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
11,373,312 sh · $1.5B
9.73%
13.8%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If C.H. Robinson beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 0.38%, confirming strong operational performance.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.
Miss
A miss on EPS could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of 0.0% when expectations are not met.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
16
13 buys·3 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$157,016.00–$580,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
16 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
7,503,056 sh · $1.0B
6.42%
-2.6%
State Street Corporation
6,502,365 sh · $879.0M
5.56%
0.9%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
5,919,932 sh · $800.3M
5.07%
-1.1%
FMR, LLC
3,737,396 sh · $505.2M
3.20%
-14.7%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Mixed
Recent Transactions
Traded Aug 25, 2026 · disclosed Sep 9, 2026
$100,001.00–$250,000.00
Traded Aug 14, 2026 · disclosed Sep 9, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Aug 12, 2026 · disclosed Sep 9, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Aug 5, 2026 · disclosed Sep 9, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Aug 3, 2026 · disclosed Sep 9, 2026
$15,001.00–$50,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.