Consumer Staples·Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages·$2.9B
Vita Coco Co Inc (COCO) is a leading brand in the consumer staples sector, specializing in coconut water and other non-alcoholic beverages. As health-conscious consumers increasingly seek natural and hydrating drink options, Vita Coco's products have gained popularity, making it a significant player in the soft drinks industry.
EPS
Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
63%
Avg EPS Surprise
+17.11%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.28%
In the last quarter (Q4-2025), Vita Coco reported an EPS of $0.09, which was below the expected $0.13, leading to a significant drop in stock price. The company did not provide revenue figures for this quarter.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Vita Coco's upcoming earnings, expecting a rebound in EPS and revenue after a disappointing last quarter. The consensus estimates suggest a modest recovery in performance.
Bull Case
If Vita Coco can exceed the EPS estimate of $0.33 and show strong revenue growth, it may indicate a solid recovery and increased consumer demand, potentially boosting investor confidence.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company misses expectations again, it could signal ongoing challenges in sales or market competition, leading to further declines in stock price.
EPS
0.33Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
148MRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.33?
A strong EPS performance would indicate a recovery from the previous quarter's miss and could boost investor sentiment.
Q2
What revenue figures will the company report, and how do they compare to the consensus of $148M?
Revenue growth is crucial for assessing market demand and the company's overall health, especially after last quarter's disappointing performance.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for a strong rebound in demand for Vita Coco's products, particularly as health trends continue to favor natural beverages.
Supporting Evidence
Despite a recent miss, the company has a history of strong performance in prior quarters, suggesting potential for recovery.
Options pricing indicates a higher expected move than historical averages, reflecting market uncertainty that could lead to a surprise.
The low put/call ratio suggests that investors are leaning towards bullish sentiment, which may not align with the cautious consensus.
Key Risk
If the company reports revenue significantly above $148M, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical for determining whether Vita Coco can recover from its recent earnings miss and regain market confidence.
Bull Confirmed If
Earnings per share of $0.34 or higher, along with revenue exceeding $152M, would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
Earnings per share below $0.31 and revenue under $143M would support the bear case.
Implied Move
±7.52%
Historical Avg
±6.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant move in either direction, reflecting uncertainty around the upcoming earnings report.
Options are pricing ±7.5% while COCO has averaged ±6.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples
n=30Fade rate: 8 of 30 (27%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 22 of 30 (73%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.8%, with a raw directional average of +0.9% (modestly positive historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Vita Coco beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 4.16%, confirming a positive outlook.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further clarity on future guidance.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations again, history indicates a potential decline of around 7.70%, reflecting ongoing concerns about performance.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026