Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
EPS actual
$0.82
EPS est.
$0.56
EPS surprise
+45.65%
1-day move
-6.82%
The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) is a leading producer of coconut water and other non-alcoholic beverages. As a player in the consumer staples sector, it benefits from ongoing trends in health and wellness, with consumers increasingly seeking natural and hydrating drink options.
Last quarter
In Q1-2026, Vita Coco reported an EPS of $0.50, significantly beating expectations of $0.34, which led to a strong stock increase of nearly 30% the next day. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance.
EPS beat streak
2Q
EPS beat rate
63%
Avg EPS surprise
+15.05%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.97%
Investors are optimistic about Vita Coco's upcoming earnings, especially after a strong performance last quarter. However, there is uncertainty due to the lack of specific revenue guidance.
Bull case
If the company continues to show strong demand for its products and delivers another earnings beat, it could lead to further stock price appreciation.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could result in a significant stock decline.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What is the revenue growth rate for this quarter?
Revenue growth will be crucial for assessing the company's ability to capitalize on consumer trends and market demand.
Q2
How is the company addressing competition in the beverage market?
Understanding competitive dynamics will help investors gauge Vita Coco's long-term viability and market positioning.
—
Est. EPS
$0.34
Est. Rev
$86M
Impl. Move
±11.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the potential for Vita Coco to capture a larger share of the health-conscious beverage market, especially given recent trends.
Supporting evidence
The last quarter's EPS beat suggests strong operational performance that may not be fully reflected in current expectations.
Options pricing indicates a significant potential move, suggesting that investors are anticipating a more dramatic outcome than consensus forecasts.
Vita Coco's unique product offering positions it well to capitalize on growing consumer interest in natural beverages.
Key risk
If revenue growth comes in below 10%, it could challenge the optimistic view held by many investors.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as it will reveal whether Vita Coco can maintain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition.
Bull confirmed if
Revenue growth exceeding 15% year-over-year would confirm strong demand and market positioning.
Bear confirmed if
A revenue decline or stagnation would signal potential issues with market demand or competition.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±28.04%
Historical Avg
±9.4%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move in either direction, indicating heightened uncertainty ahead of the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±28.0% while COCO has averaged ±9.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.6%
30d HV
81.5%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples
Fade rate: 9 of 27 (33%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 18 of 27 (67%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
95.59%
of float
Insider
8.61%
of float
Holders
481
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
7,010,187 sh · $355.1M
12.21%
3.5%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Vita Coco beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 8.51%, confirming strong market demand.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess future growth.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of about 7.70%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns over competitive pressures.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
1 buy·0 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
FMR, LLC
3,213,969 sh · $162.8M
5.60%
-32.4%
Wasatch Advisors LP
2,255,360 sh · $114.2M
3.93%
-38.6%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
2,094,091 sh · $106.1M
3.65%
0.1%
State Street Corporation
1,847,940 sh · $93.6M
3.22%
6.9%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net buying
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 10, 2026 · disclosed Sep 4, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.