Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, Aug 4, 2026
EPS actual
$0.19
EPS est.
$0.04
EPS surprise
+375.00%
1-day move
+3.13%
Cricut's strong EPS performance significantly exceeded expectations, which likely contributed to the stock's 3.13% increase. However, the lack of revenue data and guidance leaves some uncertainty about the company's overall performance. Investors may be encouraged by the earnings surprise but will need more information to assess future growth.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.19 | $0.05 | +375.00% |
| Revenue | — | $160M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Cricut, Inc. is a consumer discretionary company that specializes in household appliances, particularly crafting tools and machines. With a market cap of $1 billion, Cricut plays a significant role in the DIY and crafting market, which has seen increased consumer interest as people engage in more home-based activities.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, Cricut reported an EPS of $0.10, significantly beating expectations of $0.05. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.44% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
2Q
EPS beat rate
75%
Avg EPS surprise
+89.66%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.04%
Analysts expect Cricut to report a modest EPS of $0.05 this quarter, with revenue anticipated to remain steady at $160 million. Given the company's recent performance, there is cautious optimism.
Bull case
If Cricut can exceed EPS expectations and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a resurgence in consumer spending on crafting products, leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if Cricut fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about its market position and consumer demand, potentially leading to a sell-off.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.05Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
$160MRevenue reflects the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Cricut's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.05?
A beat on EPS could indicate stronger-than-expected demand and profitability, which would likely boost investor confidence.
Q2
What guidance will management provide regarding future revenue growth?
Management's outlook on revenue growth will be crucial for assessing the company's ability to sustain its performance in a competitive market.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±12.7%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus is underestimating the potential for Cricut to exceed revenue expectations due to a resurgence in DIY projects and crafting activities.
Supporting evidence
Cricut's recent product launches have received positive feedback, suggesting strong consumer interest.
The company's historical performance shows a high EPS beat rate of 88%, indicating potential for upside surprises.
Options pricing indicates significant volatility, suggesting that the market may be overly cautious.
Key risk
If Cricut reports revenue growth significantly above $160 million, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Cricut can maintain its growth trajectory amid changing consumer behaviors and market dynamics.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.06 or higher would confirm strong demand and operational efficiency.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.04 would raise concerns about declining consumer interest and profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±64.0%
Historical Avg
±2.7%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating heightened uncertainty or anticipation surrounding the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±64.0% while CRCT has averaged ±2.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.4%
30d HV
40.7%
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$1.2M
180,000 sh
1 insider
Net
$1.2M
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 3 open-market trades
$1.2M
Net selling
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
56.26%
of float
Insider
11.57%
of float
Holders
213
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
4,274,040 sh · $27.2M
7.82%
16.3%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Cricut beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.67%, confirming a positive outlook for the company.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but management is cautious, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors weigh future growth prospects.
Miss
If Cricut misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 3.14%, indicating concerns about its market position.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Recent Transactions
Oct 2, 2026 · @ $6.52
60,000 sh
$391,056.00
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $6.50
60,000 sh
$389,916.00
Oct 5, 2026 · @ $6.43
60,000 sh
$386,064.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
2,351,910 sh · $15.0M
4.30%
13.8%
American Century Companies Inc
2,103,364 sh · $13.4M
3.85%
8.3%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
2,072,157 sh · $13.2M
3.79%
2.7%
Geode Capital Management, LLC
1,760,322 sh · $11.2M
3.22%
9.7%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.