Equity Profile

CTRE

CareTrust REIT, Inc.

Real EstateHealth Care REITs$9.2B

Aug10Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that focuses on acquiring, owning, and managing healthcare properties....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.43

Revenue

Total revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and growth potential in the healthcare real estate market.

$158M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CTRE Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that focuses on acquiring, owning, and managing healthcare properties. With a market cap of $9 billion, it plays a crucial role in the healthcare sector, particularly as demand for senior housing and healthcare facilities continues to grow.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-1.13%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.58%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, CareTrust reported an EPS of $0.48, matching analyst expectations. The stock saw a slight increase of 0.05% the following day, indicating a stable market reaction.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect CareTrust to report steady earnings with a consensus EPS of $0.43 and revenue of $158 million. The market is closely watching for any signs of growth in their property portfolio.

Bull Case

If CareTrust exceeds expectations with strong revenue growth and improved occupancy rates, it could signal robust demand for healthcare properties, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports lower-than-expected earnings or revenue, it may raise concerns about the sustainability of its business model in a competitive market.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.43

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$158M

Total revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and growth potential in the healthcare real estate market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed $0.43, indicating strong profitability?

A higher EPS would suggest effective cost management and strong demand for CareTrust's properties, which could boost investor confidence.

What is the revenue growth compared to the consensus of $158M?

Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's ability to expand and maintain its market position in the healthcare real estate sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating CareTrust's potential for revenue growth due to increased demand for healthcare facilities, especially in senior housing.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently reported EPS surprises, indicating stronger performance than expected.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, which may reflect underlying bullish sentiment not fully captured by consensus.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly exceeds $158M, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether CareTrust can maintain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition and changing healthcare demands.

Bull Confirmed If

Reporting an EPS above $0.43 and revenue exceeding $158M would confirm the bullish case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.39 or revenue falling short of $135M would validate the bearish outlook.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.1%

Historical Avg

±1.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.1% while CTRE has averaged ±1.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

29.1%

Calls (900)P/C Ratio: 0.83Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Real Estate in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.7%, with a raw directional average of +0.9% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CareTrust beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.51% on the first day, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further commentary from management.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of around 0.62%, as it would raise concerns about the company's growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on occupancy rates in CareTrust's properties.
2Insights on new acquisitions or partnerships in the healthcare sector.
3Management's outlook on the future demand for healthcare real estate.
4Comments on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
5Any changes in guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year.

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Company Snapshot

CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that focuses on acquiring, owning, and managing healthcare properties....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.43

Revenue

Total revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and growth potential in the healthcare real estate market.

$158M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CTRE Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-1.13%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.58%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, CareTrust reported an EPS of $0.48, matching analyst expectations. The stock saw a slight increase of 0.05% the following day, indicating a stable market reaction.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect CareTrust to report steady earnings with a consensus EPS of $0.43 and revenue of $158 million. The market is closely watching for any signs of growth in their property portfolio.

Bull Case

If CareTrust exceeds expectations with strong revenue growth and improved occupancy rates, it could signal robust demand for healthcare properties, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports lower-than-expected earnings or revenue, it may raise concerns about the sustainability of its business model in a competitive market.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.43

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$158M

Total revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and growth potential in the healthcare real estate market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed $0.43, indicating strong profitability?

A higher EPS would suggest effective cost management and strong demand for CareTrust's properties, which could boost investor confidence.

What is the revenue growth compared to the consensus of $158M?

Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's ability to expand and maintain its market position in the healthcare real estate sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating CareTrust's potential for revenue growth due to increased demand for healthcare facilities, especially in senior housing.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently reported EPS surprises, indicating stronger performance than expected.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, which may reflect underlying bullish sentiment not fully captured by consensus.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly exceeds $158M, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether CareTrust can maintain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition and changing healthcare demands.

Bull Confirmed If

Reporting an EPS above $0.43 and revenue exceeding $158M would confirm the bullish case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.39 or revenue falling short of $135M would validate the bearish outlook.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.1%

Historical Avg

±1.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.1% while CTRE has averaged ±1.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

29.1%

Calls (900)P/C Ratio: 0.83Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CareTrust beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.51% on the first day, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further commentary from management.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of around 0.62%, as it would raise concerns about the company's growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on occupancy rates in CareTrust's properties.
2Insights on new acquisitions or partnerships in the healthcare sector.
3Management's outlook on the future demand for healthcare real estate.
4Comments on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
5Any changes in guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year.