Consumer Discretionary·Other Specialty Retail·$20.1B
DICK'S Sporting Goods is a leading retailer in the consumer discretionary sector, specializing in sporting goods and outdoor equipment. With a market cap of $20 billion, the company plays a significant role in the retail landscape, particularly as consumer spending trends shift towards health and fitness.
Same-Store Sales Growth
This metric indicates how well existing stores are performing, which is crucial for understanding consumer demand and overall business health.
Gross Margin
Gross margin reflects the company's efficiency in managing production costs and pricing strategies, impacting profitability.
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EPS Beat Streak
1Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+4.42%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.25%
In Q4 2025, DICK'S Sporting Goods reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $4.05, significantly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.06% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, analysts expect DICK'S Sporting Goods to deliver solid results this quarter, driven by strong consumer demand and effective inventory management. However, there are concerns about rising costs and competition in the retail space.
Bull Case
If the company reports strong same-store sales growth and maintains or improves gross margins, it could indicate robust consumer demand and operational efficiency, leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear Case
On the other hand, if the company fails to meet sales expectations or reports declining margins, it may raise concerns about its competitive position and profitability, resulting in a negative market reaction.
Same-Store Sales Growth
5%This metric indicates how well existing stores are performing, which is crucial for understanding consumer demand and overall business health.
Gross Margin
32%Gross margin reflects the company's efficiency in managing production costs and pricing strategies, impacting profitability.
Inventory Turnover
4.5A higher inventory turnover ratio suggests effective inventory management and strong sales, which are vital for retail success.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What is the same-store sales growth for Q1-2026?
This figure will provide insight into consumer demand and the effectiveness of the company's sales strategies, which are critical for future growth.
Q2
How has gross margin changed compared to the previous quarter?
Understanding the gross margin trend will help investors gauge the company's pricing power and cost management, which are essential for maintaining profitability.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the impact of DICK'S expanding e-commerce capabilities, which could drive higher sales growth than anticipated.
Supporting Evidence
Recent trends show a significant shift towards online shopping, which DICK'S has been capitalizing on.
The company's commitment to enhancing customer experience could lead to stronger retention and sales.
Past performance indicates that DICK'S has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting it may outperform again.
Key Risk
If the same-store sales growth exceeds 7%, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is closely watching these metrics as they will significantly impact investor sentiment and stock performance.
Bull Confirmed If
A same-store sales growth of 7% or higher would confirm strong consumer demand and operational success.
Bear Confirmed If
If same-store sales growth falls below 3%, it could indicate weakening demand and competitive pressures.
Implied Move
±4.2%
The options market is pricing in a moderate move for DICK'S Sporting Goods around the earnings report, suggesting uncertainty about the results.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If DICK'S beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.26% on the first day, confirming strong operational performance.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest the news.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 0.20%, reflecting investor disappointment.
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