Equity Profile

EDU

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryEducation Services$8.3B

Feb22Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) is a leading provider of educational services in China, focusing on language training, test preparation, and other educational programs....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and can influence investor sentiment.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain students, which is crucial for its long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EDU Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) is a leading provider of educational services in China, focusing on language training, test preparation, and other educational programs. As a player in the consumer discretionary sector, its performance can be influenced by trends in consumer spending and educational demand.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.41%

Avg Stock Reaction

-7.06%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, New Oriental reported an EPS of $0.95, surpassing estimates by 5.56%. However, the stock fell by 2.89% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding online education offerings.
Commitment to improving student engagement and satisfaction.
Plans to enhance technology integration in learning.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about New Oriental's upcoming earnings, given its recent performance. However, there are concerns about potential revenue growth and enrollment stability.

Bull Case

If New Oriental can demonstrate strong enrollment growth and continued profitability, it could signal a robust recovery in demand for educational services.

Bear Case

Conversely, if enrollment numbers decline or if there are signs of increased competition, it could lead to a significant drop in stock value.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the latest enrollment numbers for the quarter?

Enrollment numbers are critical as they directly impact revenue and indicate the company's market position.

How is the company addressing competition in the online education space?

Understanding competitive strategies will help gauge New Oriental's ability to maintain its market share.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in enrollment numbers, given recent trends in consumer spending on education.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a 5.92% move, which is below the historical average of 8.39%.

Recent earnings surprises indicate a potential for positive momentum.

The company has committed to enhancing its online offerings, which could attract more students.

Key Risk

If enrollment numbers exceed expectations, the consensus view may need to be revised upward.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance hinges on enrollment trends and competitive positioning in the education market.

Bull Confirmed If

Demonstrating enrollment growth of over 10% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in enrollment numbers below 5% year-over-year would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.92%

Historical Avg

±8.4%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 5.92%, suggesting that investors are anticipating some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while EDU has averaged ±8.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

37.0%

Calls (8K)P/C Ratio: 3.67Puts (15K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If New Oriental beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.13%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted response, reflecting ongoing market caution.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential drop of about 11.96%, signaling investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on enrollment trends and how they compare to previous quarters.
2Details on competitive strategies in the online education market.
3Insights into revenue growth and any changes in pricing strategy.
4Management's outlook on future demand for educational services.
5Any commentary on technological advancements and their impact on learning.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

APA Corporation

Company Snapshot

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) is a leading provider of educational services in China, focusing on language training, test preparation, and other educational programs....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and can influence investor sentiment.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain students, which is crucial for its long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EDU Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.41%

Avg Stock Reaction

-7.06%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, New Oriental reported an EPS of $0.95, surpassing estimates by 5.56%. However, the stock fell by 2.89% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding online education offerings.
Commitment to improving student engagement and satisfaction.
Plans to enhance technology integration in learning.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about New Oriental's upcoming earnings, given its recent performance. However, there are concerns about potential revenue growth and enrollment stability.

Bull Case

If New Oriental can demonstrate strong enrollment growth and continued profitability, it could signal a robust recovery in demand for educational services.

Bear Case

Conversely, if enrollment numbers decline or if there are signs of increased competition, it could lead to a significant drop in stock value.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the latest enrollment numbers for the quarter?

Enrollment numbers are critical as they directly impact revenue and indicate the company's market position.

How is the company addressing competition in the online education space?

Understanding competitive strategies will help gauge New Oriental's ability to maintain its market share.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in enrollment numbers, given recent trends in consumer spending on education.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a 5.92% move, which is below the historical average of 8.39%.

Recent earnings surprises indicate a potential for positive momentum.

The company has committed to enhancing its online offerings, which could attract more students.

Key Risk

If enrollment numbers exceed expectations, the consensus view may need to be revised upward.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance hinges on enrollment trends and competitive positioning in the education market.

Bull Confirmed If

Demonstrating enrollment growth of over 10% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in enrollment numbers below 5% year-over-year would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.92%

Historical Avg

±8.4%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 5.92%, suggesting that investors are anticipating some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while EDU has averaged ±8.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

37.0%

Calls (8K)P/C Ratio: 3.67Puts (15K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If New Oriental beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.13%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted response, reflecting ongoing market caution.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential drop of about 11.96%, signaling investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on enrollment trends and how they compare to previous quarters.
2Details on competitive strategies in the online education market.
3Insights into revenue growth and any changes in pricing strategy.
4Management's outlook on future demand for educational services.
5Any commentary on technological advancements and their impact on learning.