Energy·Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation·$3.9B
Excelerate Energy Inc. (EE) operates in the energy sector, specifically focusing on oil and gas storage and transportation....
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its operations and capture market share, crucial for long-term success.
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EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
75%
Avg EPS Surprise
+15.43%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.75%
In the last quarter, Excelerate Energy reported an EPS of $0.29, matching analyst expectations with a slight surprise. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.06% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, expectations for this quarter are mixed, with investors looking for continued profitability amid fluctuating energy prices. The market is particularly focused on how the company will manage costs and revenue in a challenging environment.
Bull Case
If Excelerate Energy can exceed EPS expectations and demonstrate strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for their services, leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or shows signs of declining revenue, it could raise concerns about its operational efficiency and market position.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$0.34EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its operations and capture market share, crucial for long-term success.
Operating Margin
N/AOperating margin indicates how efficiently the company is managing its costs relative to its revenue, impacting overall profitability.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to last quarter's $0.29?
Given the company's recent performance, a significant EPS increase could indicate strong operational improvements and market demand.
Q2
How is Excelerate managing its costs in the current energy market?
Cost management is crucial for maintaining profitability, especially in a volatile market, and will be a key focus for investors.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating Excelerate's ability to manage costs effectively in a volatile market, potentially leading to better-than-expected EPS.
Supporting Evidence
The company's historical EPS beat rate of 75% suggests strong operational capabilities.
Recent positive stock reactions following EPS surprises indicate market confidence.
Management's focus on logistics improvements may enhance operational efficiency.
Key Risk
If the EPS comes in below $0.29, it could significantly undermine the positive sentiment around the company's operational improvements.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate this quarter centers around Excelerate's ability to maintain profitability amid fluctuating energy prices and operational challenges.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.35 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.29 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about the company's profitability.
Implied Move
±4.2%
Currently, there is no options market data available, but the implied move suggests that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss setup in Energy
n=30Fade rate: 18 of 30 (60%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Energy in the last 2 years. 18 of 30 faded and 12 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.8%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Excelerate beats expectations, history suggests a positive stock reaction, with an average 1-day move of +1.02%, confirming strong demand.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction, as investors await further commentary on future guidance.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential downside move of -0.07%, raising concerns about operational efficiency.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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MARATHON PETE CORP
Aug 3, 2020