Equity Profile

ELF

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

Consumer StaplesPersonal Care Products$2.9B

May8Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2027After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors will closely watch this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and attract new customers, which is crucial for sustaining long-term growth.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ELF Q1-2027 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. is a consumer staples company specializing in affordable personal care products. With a market cap of $3 billion, e.l.f. is known for its innovative and budget-friendly cosmetics, appealing to a wide range of consumers, especially younger demographics focused on value and quality.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+509.44%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.46%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, e.l.f. reported a significant EPS surprise of 3455.56%, indicating strong performance relative to expectations. However, the stock experienced a decline of 4.27% the following day, suggesting that the market may have had mixed reactions despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, Wall Street is cautiously optimistic about e.l.f.'s upcoming earnings report, given its history of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of specific guidance may lead to uncertainty among investors.

Bull Case

If e.l.f. continues its trend of strong earnings surprises, it could indicate robust demand for its products and effective cost management, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if e.l.f. fails to meet expectations or if there are signs of declining sales or market share, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected EPS for this quarter?

Given e.l.f.'s history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial in determining market sentiment post-earnings.

How is e.l.f. performing in terms of market share in the personal care sector?

Market share data will help investors assess the company's competitive position and growth potential in a crowded market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate e.l.f.'s ability to capture market share from competitors, especially in the budget segment, which is seeing increased demand.

Supporting Evidence

e.l.f. has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger-than-expected demand.

The company's focus on affordability aligns well with current consumer spending trends, which favor value.

Options pricing suggests a low expected move, indicating that the market may not be fully prepared for a potential positive surprise.

Key Risk

If e.l.f. reports an EPS significantly above expectations, it could challenge the current cautious outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on e.l.f.'s ability to maintain its growth trajectory and market position.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS significantly above $0.32 would confirm the bull case, indicating continued strong performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.32 would support the bear case, suggesting potential issues with sales or market share.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±1.55%

Historical Avg

±1.8%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a modest move of approximately 1.55% around the earnings report, indicating that investors expect some volatility but not drastic changes.

Options are pricing ±1.5% while ELF has averaged ±1.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

55.5%

Calls (301K)P/C Ratio: 0.78Puts (192K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If e.l.f. beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.8% on the day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see little movement, but cautious commentary could lead to volatility.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 0.46%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about future growth.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Insights into consumer trends and how e.l.f. is adapting to them.
3Management's commentary on competitive pressures in the personal care market.
4Details on cost management strategies and their effect on margins.
5Any guidance on future revenue growth and market expansion plans.

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Company Snapshot

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors will closely watch this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and attract new customers, which is crucial for sustaining long-term growth.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ELF Q1-2027 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+509.44%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.46%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If e.l.f. continues its trend of strong earnings surprises, it could indicate robust demand for its products and effective cost management, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if e.l.f. fails to meet expectations or if there are signs of declining sales or market share, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected EPS for this quarter?

Given e.l.f.'s history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial in determining market sentiment post-earnings.

How is e.l.f. performing in terms of market share in the personal care sector?

Market share data will help investors assess the company's competitive position and growth potential in a crowded market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate e.l.f.'s ability to capture market share from competitors, especially in the budget segment, which is seeing increased demand.

Supporting Evidence

e.l.f. has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger-than-expected demand.

The company's focus on affordability aligns well with current consumer spending trends, which favor value.

Options pricing suggests a low expected move, indicating that the market may not be fully prepared for a potential positive surprise.

Key Risk

If e.l.f. reports an EPS significantly above expectations, it could challenge the current cautious outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on e.l.f.'s ability to maintain its growth trajectory and market position.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS significantly above $0.32 would confirm the bull case, indicating continued strong performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.32 would support the bear case, suggesting potential issues with sales or market share.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±1.55%

Historical Avg

±1.8%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a modest move of approximately 1.55% around the earnings report, indicating that investors expect some volatility but not drastic changes.

Options are pricing ±1.5% while ELF has averaged ±1.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

55.5%

Calls (301K)P/C Ratio: 0.78Puts (192K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If e.l.f. beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.8% on the day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see little movement, but cautious commentary could lead to volatility.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 0.46%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about future growth.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Insights into consumer trends and how e.l.f. is adapting to them.
3Management's commentary on competitive pressures in the personal care market.
4Details on cost management strategies and their effect on margins.
5Any guidance on future revenue growth and market expansion plans.