Equity Profile

EMBJ

Embraer S.A.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$10.1B

Aug10Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace company that designs and manufactures commercial, military, executive, and agricultural aircraft....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and will help gauge its financial health this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential to understand how well Embraer is capitalizing on the recovering aviation market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EMBJ Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace company that designs and manufactures commercial, military, executive, and agricultural aircraft. As a key player in the aerospace and defense sector, Embraer is significant for its innovation and contributions to global aviation, especially as air travel demand continues to recover post-pandemic.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 2Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+63.91%

Avg Stock Reaction

-9.23%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Embraer reported an EPS of $0.19, falling short of the expected $0.29, which resulted in a significant stock drop of 11.28% the following day. The company did not provide revenue figures or guidance, leaving investors uncertain about future performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Embraer's upcoming earnings are mixed, given the recent earnings miss and lack of guidance. Investors are looking for signs of recovery in profitability and revenue growth.

Bull Case

If Embraer can demonstrate strong order growth and improved margins, it could signal a robust recovery in demand and investor confidence, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports another earnings miss or weak revenue figures, it could raise concerns about its market position and future growth, leading to further stock declines.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current order backlog and how does it compare to previous quarters?

The order backlog is critical for understanding future revenue potential and demand trends, which will heavily influence investor sentiment.

What are the key drivers behind the recent earnings miss and how is the company addressing them?

Understanding the reasons for the earnings miss will help investors gauge management's effectiveness and the company's ability to navigate challenges.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in aircraft orders, driven by increased global travel demand and new product launches.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that investors are anticipating volatility and potential surprises.

Embraer's recent strategic partnerships could lead to increased orders that are not yet reflected in analyst expectations.

Key Risk

If order backlog increases significantly, it could shift the narrative from cautious to optimistic, contradicting current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on Embraer's ability to recover from recent earnings misses and demonstrate growth in key metrics.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS surprise of $0.30 or higher, along with a significant increase in order backlog, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.15 and a decrease in order backlog would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.32%

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 17.32%, indicating that investors expect considerable volatility around the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

51.9%

Calls (77K)P/C Ratio: 0.43Puts (3K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Embraer beats expectations, history suggests the stock could move up around 9.23%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious inline report could lead to a muted response, as investors weigh management's commentary against previous performance.

Miss

If the company misses again, history suggests a potential drop of around 11.28%, raising concerns about its growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new aircraft orders and backlog figures.
2Insights into cost management strategies and margin improvements.
3Management's outlook on the global aviation market recovery.
4Details on any new partnerships or contracts that could impact future revenue.
5Responses to questions about the company's strategy to address recent earnings misses.

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Company Snapshot

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace company that designs and manufactures commercial, military, executive, and agricultural aircraft....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and will help gauge its financial health this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential to understand how well Embraer is capitalizing on the recovering aviation market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EMBJ Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 2Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+63.91%

Avg Stock Reaction

-9.23%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Embraer's upcoming earnings are mixed, given the recent earnings miss and lack of guidance. Investors are looking for signs of recovery in profitability and revenue growth.

Bull Case

If Embraer can demonstrate strong order growth and improved margins, it could signal a robust recovery in demand and investor confidence, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports another earnings miss or weak revenue figures, it could raise concerns about its market position and future growth, leading to further stock declines.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current order backlog and how does it compare to previous quarters?

The order backlog is critical for understanding future revenue potential and demand trends, which will heavily influence investor sentiment.

What are the key drivers behind the recent earnings miss and how is the company addressing them?

Understanding the reasons for the earnings miss will help investors gauge management's effectiveness and the company's ability to navigate challenges.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in aircraft orders, driven by increased global travel demand and new product launches.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that investors are anticipating volatility and potential surprises.

Embraer's recent strategic partnerships could lead to increased orders that are not yet reflected in analyst expectations.

Key Risk

If order backlog increases significantly, it could shift the narrative from cautious to optimistic, contradicting current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on Embraer's ability to recover from recent earnings misses and demonstrate growth in key metrics.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS surprise of $0.30 or higher, along with a significant increase in order backlog, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.15 and a decrease in order backlog would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.32%

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 17.32%, indicating that investors expect considerable volatility around the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

51.9%

Calls (77K)P/C Ratio: 0.43Puts (3K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Embraer beats expectations, history suggests the stock could move up around 9.23%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious inline report could lead to a muted response, as investors weigh management's commentary against previous performance.

Miss

If the company misses again, history suggests a potential drop of around 11.28%, raising concerns about its growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new aircraft orders and backlog figures.
2Insights into cost management strategies and margin improvements.
3Management's outlook on the global aviation market recovery.
4Details on any new partnerships or contracts that could impact future revenue.
5Responses to questions about the company's strategy to address recent earnings misses.