Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, Apr 28, 2026
EPS actual
$0.41
EPS est.
$0.38
EPS surprise
+7.89%
1-day move
-3.94%
Element Solutions Inc reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which is a positive sign for the company. However, the stock fell by nearly 4% in reaction, likely due to the absence of revenue figures and guidance. Investors may be concerned about the company's future performance given the current market challenges.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.41 | $0.38 | +7.89% |
| Revenue | N/A | $709M | N/A |
Overall, management conveyed a cautious outlook amid market uncertainties. They emphasized their focus on operational efficiency.
Management highlighted ongoing challenges in the market but expressed confidence in their strategic initiatives.
They noted that cost management remains a priority as they navigate current economic conditions.
Element Solutions Inc (ESI) operates in the specialty chemicals sector, providing innovative solutions for various industries. As a key player in materials, the company is influenced by trends in manufacturing and consumer demand, making its performance relevant to investors focused on the materials market.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, Element Solutions reported an EPS of $0.37, slightly beating expectations. However, the stock reacted negatively, indicating potential concerns among investors.
EPS beat streak
6Q
EPS beat rate
88%
Avg EPS surprise
+1.06%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.58%
Analysts expect Element Solutions to report a modest earnings increase this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $0.38. Investors are particularly focused on revenue growth amid fluctuating demand in the specialty chemicals sector.
Bull case
If Element Solutions can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may signal robust demand and operational efficiency, boosting investor confidence.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about its market position and future growth, leading to a negative stock reaction.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$0.38EPS is a critical measure of profitability that investors closely monitor to gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
$709MRevenue indicates the company's ability to generate sales and is essential for assessing growth potential.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Element Solutions achieve an EPS of $0.38 or higher?
This specific EPS target is crucial for assessing the company's profitability and could significantly influence investor sentiment.
Q2
What revenue figure will Element Solutions report, and how does it compare to the consensus of $709M?
Revenue performance is a key indicator of demand and growth potential, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact stock performance.
—
Est. EPS
$1.52
Est. Rev
$3.6B
Impl. Move
±39.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Element Solutions' ability to capitalize on emerging demand in specialty chemicals, particularly if they can demonstrate strong revenue growth despite market challenges.
Supporting evidence
The company's historical EPS beat rate of 88% suggests a strong likelihood of exceeding expectations.
Options pricing indicates a significant move, reflecting investor uncertainty that may not align with the company's potential performance.
Key risk
If revenue comes in significantly above $709M, it would challenge the current bearish sentiment and suggest stronger demand.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Element Solutions can maintain its growth trajectory in a competitive specialty chemicals landscape.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.40 or better, coupled with revenue exceeding $747M, would confirm strong operational performance.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.37 and revenue falling short of $657M would indicate potential struggles in demand and profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±11.99%
Historical Avg
±1.6%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±9.6% while ESI has averaged ±1.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.6%
30d HV
45.2%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Materials
Fade rate: 6 of 25 (24%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Materials in the last 2 years. 19 of 25 (76%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.1%, with a raw directional average of +0.2% (modestly positive historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
105.80%
of float
Insider
6.53%
of float
Holders
641
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
27,595,035 sh · $1.0B
11.32%
1.3%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Element Solutions beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see a modest positive reaction, confirming the company's strength in the market.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further clarity on future guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a negative reaction, with historical patterns indicating a potential decline in stock value.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
FMR, LLC
17,485,379 sh · $649.9M
7.18%
-15.5%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
13,300,167 sh · $494.4M
5.46%
-2.7%
Invesco Ltd.
12,633,130 sh · $469.6M
5.18%
40.5%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
10,425,824 sh · $387.5M
4.28%
-2.8%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.