Post-earnings recap
Reported
Mon, Aug 17, 2026
EPS actual
$4.10
EPS est.
$3.69
EPS surprise
+11.20%
1-day move
+4.97%
Fabrinet's earnings report showed a strong performance in EPS, exceeding expectations by over 11%. This positive surprise likely contributed to the stock's increase of nearly 5% in response. However, without revenue figures or management commentary, investors may need to wait for further details to fully understand the company's performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $4.10 | $3.81 | +11.20% |
| Revenue | — | $1.3B | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Fabrinet (FN) is a leading provider of electronic manufacturing services, specializing in complex optical and electronic components. As part of the Information Technology sector, the company plays a crucial role in supporting industries like telecommunications and data centers, which are increasingly important in the digital age.
Last quarter
In Q3-2026, Fabrinet reported an EPS of $3.72, surpassing expectations by 8.68%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.60% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+11.32%
Avg 1-day reaction
+1.59%
Analysts are generally optimistic about Fabrinet's upcoming earnings, expecting strong performance based on historical trends and recent results.
Bull case
If Fabrinet beats EPS expectations, it could signal robust demand and efficient operations, potentially leading to a significant stock price increase.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations, it may raise concerns about demand in key markets, leading to a negative reaction in the stock.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$3.81Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.
Revenue
$1.3BTotal revenue reflects the company's ability to grow its business and capture market share, which is critical for investor confidence.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $3.81?
A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's strong operational performance and could lead to a positive stock reaction.
Q2
What are the revenue growth prospects in key sectors?
Understanding revenue growth will provide insights into demand trends and the company's market position, influencing investor sentiment.
—
Est. EPS
$5.07
Est. Rev
$6.8B
Impl. Move
±15.6%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating Fabrinet's ability to capitalize on emerging technologies in optical components, which could drive higher revenue growth than anticipated.
Supporting evidence
Fabrinet has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, indicating strong operational performance.
The options market is pricing a significant move, suggesting that investors expect more than just a typical earnings report.
Recent trends in telecommunications and data centers suggest a growing demand for Fabrinet's services.
Key risk
If revenue growth significantly exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current consensus on market demand.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating the sustainability of Fabrinet's growth in a competitive environment, making these metrics critical.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $3.90 or higher would confirm strong operational efficiency and demand.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $3.79 could indicate weakening demand or operational challenges.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±41.64%
Historical Avg
±2.1%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential price movement, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±41.6% while FN has averaged ±2.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.9%
30d HV
69.5%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
104.12%
of float
Insider
0.26%
of float
Holders
1,024
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
4,824,895 sh · $2.4B
13.46%
-13.8%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Fabrinet beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.00%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of around 1.00% following such outcomes.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
4
2 buys·2 sells
Members
2
House only
Est. Notional
$18,004.00–$95,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
2 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc
1,940,957 sh · $966.6M
5.42%
-49.5%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
1,898,671 sh · $945.5M
5.30%
-11.0%
FMR, LLC
1,841,854 sh · $917.2M
5.14%
-13.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
1,615,994 sh · $804.7M
4.51%
0.6%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Mixed
2 trades
Mixed
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 16, 2026 · disclosed Sep 4, 2026
$15,001.00–$50,000.00
Traded Jul 14, 2026 · disclosed Aug 10, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 4, 2026 · disclosed Jun 8, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 1, 2026 · disclosed Jun 3, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.