Equity Profile

GGG

Graco Inc.

IndustrialsIndustrial Machinery & Supplies & Components$12.3B

Oct22Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Graco Inc. (GGG) is a leading manufacturer of fluid handling systems and products, primarily serving the industrial machinery sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Graco is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will indicate demand for Graco's products and overall market performance.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GGG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Graco Inc. (GGG) is a leading manufacturer of fluid handling systems and products, primarily serving the industrial machinery sector. With a market cap of $12 billion, the company plays a crucial role in providing solutions for various industries, including construction, automotive, and manufacturing, which are essential for economic growth.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-4.52%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.83%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Graco reported an EPS of $0.66, which was below the expected $0.75, resulting in a 1.98% drop in stock price the following day. The company continues to face challenges in meeting earnings expectations.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Graco's upcoming earnings report, especially after a series of misses in previous quarters. The focus will be on whether the company can turn around its performance and meet or exceed expectations.

Bull Case

If Graco can show improved earnings and revenue growth, it may signal a recovery in demand for its products, leading to increased investor confidence and a potential rise in stock price.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations, it could indicate deeper issues within the business, leading to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Graco's EPS exceed $0.70 this quarter?

Given the recent trend of missing EPS estimates, a positive surprise could indicate a turnaround in performance.

What is the revenue growth rate compared to last year?

Revenue growth is critical for assessing demand for Graco's products and overall market health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Graco's ability to recover from recent earnings misses, as the company has been investing in new product lines that could drive future growth.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a modest move, indicating that investors may not be fully prepared for a significant surprise.

Graco's historical performance shows that it has the potential to rebound after disappointing quarters.

Recent industry trends suggest increased demand for industrial machinery, which could benefit Graco.

Key Risk

If Graco's revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are pivotal for Graco, as they need to demonstrate improved financial health after several disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.70 or higher would confirm a positive shift in Graco's earnings performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.65 would reinforce concerns about ongoing challenges in meeting market expectations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±1.6%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a relatively modest move of 1.6% in either direction, suggesting uncertainty about the earnings outcome.

Options are pricing ±1.6% while GGG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

19.9%

Calls (0)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (100)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Graco beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.91%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious, the stock may see little movement as investors await clearer signals of recovery.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 0.90%, further damaging investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches and their expected impact on revenue.
2Management's commentary on market demand and customer orders.
3Details on cost management strategies and their effectiveness.
4Insights into supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
5Any guidance on future earnings expectations.

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Company Snapshot

Graco Inc. (GGG) is a leading manufacturer of fluid handling systems and products, primarily serving the industrial machinery sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Graco is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will indicate demand for Graco's products and overall market performance.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GGG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-4.52%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.83%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Graco can show improved earnings and revenue growth, it may signal a recovery in demand for its products, leading to increased investor confidence and a potential rise in stock price.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations, it could indicate deeper issues within the business, leading to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Graco's EPS exceed $0.70 this quarter?

Given the recent trend of missing EPS estimates, a positive surprise could indicate a turnaround in performance.

What is the revenue growth rate compared to last year?

Revenue growth is critical for assessing demand for Graco's products and overall market health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Graco's ability to recover from recent earnings misses, as the company has been investing in new product lines that could drive future growth.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a modest move, indicating that investors may not be fully prepared for a significant surprise.

Graco's historical performance shows that it has the potential to rebound after disappointing quarters.

Recent industry trends suggest increased demand for industrial machinery, which could benefit Graco.

Key Risk

If Graco's revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are pivotal for Graco, as they need to demonstrate improved financial health after several disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.70 or higher would confirm a positive shift in Graco's earnings performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.65 would reinforce concerns about ongoing challenges in meeting market expectations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±1.6%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a relatively modest move of 1.6% in either direction, suggesting uncertainty about the earnings outcome.

Options are pricing ±1.6% while GGG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

19.9%

Calls (0)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (100)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Graco beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.91%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious, the stock may see little movement as investors await clearer signals of recovery.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 0.90%, further damaging investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches and their expected impact on revenue.
2Management's commentary on market demand and customer orders.
3Details on cost management strategies and their effectiveness.
4Insights into supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
5Any guidance on future earnings expectations.