Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, Apr 29, 2026
EPS actual
$1.80
EPS est.
$1.33
EPS surprise
+35.24%
1-day move
+16.49%
Generac's strong EPS performance indicates better-than-expected profitability, which likely fueled the stock's 14.56% increase. The company is experiencing strong demand, but ongoing supply chain issues remain a concern. Investors may view the earnings beat as a positive sign for future growth, despite the lack of revenue data and guidance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.80 | $1.33 | +35.24% |
| Revenue | N/A | $1.1B | N/A |
Overall, management expressed a positive outlook on demand trends. However, they acknowledged challenges in the supply chain that could impact future performance.
Management highlighted strong demand for their products despite ongoing supply chain challenges.
They emphasized their commitment to innovation and expanding their market presence.
Generac Holdings Inc. is a leading manufacturer of energy solutions, primarily known for its backup power generation systems. As a key player in the industrial sector, it benefits from growing demand for reliable energy solutions amid increasing weather-related disruptions and power outages.
Last quarter
In Q4 2025, Generac reported an EPS of $1.61, which was below analysts' expectations of $1.81, resulting in a negative surprise of 11.2%. Despite this miss, the stock rose by nearly 18% the following day, indicating some investor optimism.
EPS beat streak
2Q
EPS beat rate
75%
Avg EPS surprise
+16.34%
Avg 1-day reaction
+7.22%
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Generac's upcoming earnings, with expectations for a modest recovery in EPS and revenue. However, the company has faced challenges in meeting previous estimates, which could weigh on investor sentiment.
Bull case
If Generac can exceed the EPS estimate of $1.33 and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a rebound in demand and operational efficiency, potentially boosting the stock price.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company misses expectations again, it could raise concerns about its ability to navigate market challenges, leading to a negative reaction from investors.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$1.33Earnings per share is a crucial measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.
Revenue
$1.1BRevenue figures will provide insight into sales performance and market demand for Generac's products, particularly in the context of recent economic conditions.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Generac achieve an EPS above $1.33?
This figure is critical as it will indicate the company's profitability and ability to meet market expectations.
Q2
What revenue growth can we expect relative to the $1.1B consensus?
Revenue performance is essential for assessing market demand and the company's operational health.
—
Est. EPS
$1.52
Est. Rev
$3.6B
Impl. Move
±39.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate Generac's ability to rebound from recent challenges, as the demand for backup power solutions remains strong amid increasing climate-related power outages.
Supporting evidence
The options market is pricing a 10.47% move, indicating higher expected volatility than the historical average of 7.18%.
Generac has a 75% EPS beat rate historically, suggesting a tendency to outperform expectations.
Recent trends in energy demand may not be fully reflected in analyst estimates, potentially leading to a positive surprise.
Key risk
If Generac's revenue exceeds $1.1B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift market expectations.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Generac can recover from recent earnings misses and demonstrate growth in a competitive environment.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.40 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $1.1B, would confirm strong operational performance.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.20 and revenue below $1.0B would suggest ongoing challenges in the business.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±10.47%
Historical Avg
±8.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±10.0% while GNRC has averaged ±8.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.4%
30d HV
41.0%
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$1.3M
6,153 sh
3 insiders
Net
$1.3M
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 7 open-market trades
$119,184.00
Net selling
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
91.74%
of float
Insider
1.68%
of float
Holders
1,275
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
3,999,044 sh · $885.1M
6.78%
5.2%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Generac beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 3.73%, confirming a positive outlook.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of about 6.52%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
$128,179.71
Net selling
$1.0M
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $206.00
5,000 sh
$1.0M
Oct 2, 2026 · @ $212.57
390 sh
$82,902.30
Oct 2, 2026 · @ $212.57
213 sh
$45,277.41
Oct 5, 2026 · @ $215.46
200 sh
$43,092.00
Oct 6, 2026 · @ $220.00
150 sh
$33,000.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
3,845,079 sh · $851.1M
6.52%
0.7%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
2,426,090 sh · $537.0M
4.11%
4.8%
State Street Corporation
2,234,679 sh · $494.6M
3.79%
2.5%
Invesco Ltd.
1,703,954 sh · $377.2M
2.89%
-25.6%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.