Post-earnings recap
Reported
Mon, May 11, 2026
EPS actual
$-0.36
EPS est.
$2.16
EPS surprise
-116.64%
1-day move
+0.17%
Chart Industries reported a significant earnings miss, with an EPS of -$0.36 compared to the expected $1.99. Despite this, the stock saw a slight increase of 0.17%, which may indicate that investors were not overly surprised by the results. The lack of revenue information and guidance leaves uncertainty about future performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.36 | $1.99 | -116.64% |
| Revenue | — | $1.1B | — |
No transcript is on record for the earnings call, and the analysis is based solely on the numerical results.
Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS) is a leading manufacturer of equipment used in the industrial gas and energy sectors. The company plays a crucial role in providing solutions for energy transition and sustainability, which are increasingly important themes in today's industrial landscape.
Last quarter
In Q4 2025, Chart Industries reported an EPS of $2.51, which was significantly below analysts' expectations of $3.48, resulting in a 27.83% surprise. The stock reacted slightly negatively the following day, indicating investor disappointment.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
13%
Avg EPS surprise
-30.16%
Avg 1-day reaction
+2.79%
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Chart Industries' upcoming earnings, with expectations for EPS of $1.99 and revenue of $1.1 billion. However, given the recent earnings misses, there is a level of skepticism regarding whether these targets can be met.
Bull case
If Chart Industries can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround in performance and restore investor confidence.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it could lead to further declines in stock price and heightened concerns about its operational challenges.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$1.99EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.
Revenue
$1.1BRevenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and meet customer demand.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Chart Industries achieve an EPS of $1.99 or higher?
This number is crucial as it will indicate whether the company is on a path to recovery after recent earnings misses.
Q2
What are the revenue figures for this quarter, and how do they compare to the $1.1 billion consensus?
Revenue performance is essential for assessing the company's growth trajectory and market demand.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±4.6%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may be underestimating Chart Industries' potential for a strong rebound, particularly given the recent focus on energy transition solutions.
Supporting evidence
The company has a solid pipeline of new products aimed at sustainability, which could drive unexpected revenue growth.
Past earnings misses may have created a low bar for expectations, allowing for a potential surprise.
Options pricing suggests a limited move, indicating that the market may not be fully pricing in the potential for a positive surprise.
Key risk
If the company reports significantly higher revenue than the $1.1 billion consensus, it could shift market sentiment dramatically.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The upcoming earnings report is critical as it will provide insights into the company's ability to rebound from previous misses and meet market expectations.
Bull confirmed if
Achieving an EPS of $2.10 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational recovery.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS of $1.80 or lower would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about ongoing operational challenges.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±1.39%
Historical Avg
±7.3%
The options market is pricing a modest move around the earnings report, suggesting that investors are anticipating a relatively stable reaction.
Options are pricing ±1.4% while GTLS has averaged ±7.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.
ATM IV
0.2%
30d HV
2.1%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Industrials
Fade rate: 6 of 18 (33%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 12 of 18 (67%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 7.1%, with a raw directional average of +2.3% (modestly positive historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Chart Industries beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 12.20%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction, reflecting ongoing investor caution.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 2.40%, further eroding investor confidence and raising concerns about the company's operational health.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
0 buys·1 sell
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 17, 2026 · disclosed Aug 10, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.