Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, Apr 30, 2026
EPS actual
$0.49
EPS est.
$0.42
EPS surprise
+15.29%
1-day move
+24.99%
Garrett Motion Inc. reported a strong earnings per share of $0.49, exceeding expectations and resulting in a significant stock increase of nearly 25%. The positive EPS surprise indicates better-than-expected profitability, although revenue details were not disclosed. Investors reacted favorably, likely reflecting confidence in the company's financial performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.49 | N/A | +15.29% |
| Revenue | N/A | N/A | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on advanced technologies for vehicle performance. With a market cap of $4 billion, the company is positioned to benefit from trends in consumer spending and the automotive industry's shift towards more efficient and eco-friendly solutions.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, Garrett Motion reported an EPS of $0.42, exceeding expectations by nearly 19%. However, the stock experienced a decline of over 6% the following day, indicating market skepticism despite the positive surprise.
EPS beat streak
7Q
EPS beat rate
88%
Avg EPS surprise
+19.76%
Avg 1-day reaction
+5.74%
Investors are cautiously optimistic as Garrett Motion prepares to report its Q1-2026 earnings. The company's strong historical performance suggests potential for another positive surprise, but uncertainty remains due to lack of guidance.
Bull case
If Garrett Motion continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could see significant stock appreciation, especially given its recent history of positive surprises.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price, as seen in past quarters.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What is the EPS forecast for Q1-2026?
The EPS figure will be critical in determining whether the company can maintain its trend of positive surprises and investor confidence.
Q2
How does Garrett Motion plan to address supply chain challenges?
Supply chain issues have affected many companies in the automotive sector, and management's response will be crucial for future performance.
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Est. EPS
$1.21
Est. Rev
$34.9B
Impl. Move
±5.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating Garrett Motion's ability to leverage recent technological advancements in the automotive sector, which could drive higher-than-expected demand.
Supporting evidence
Garrett has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, indicating strong operational execution.
The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that traders expect significant news.
Recent trends in automotive efficiency could favor Garrett's product offerings, leading to stronger sales.
Key risk
If the EPS comes in below $0.30, it could undermine confidence in the company's growth trajectory.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Garrett Motion can sustain its recent performance amidst ongoing industry challenges.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.45 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest strong operational performance.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.30 would likely confirm the bear case, indicating potential issues in profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±11.09%
Historical Avg
±10.1%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±12.1% while GTX has averaged ±10.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.7%
30d HV
33.7%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Garrett Motion beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.98%, confirming a positive outlook.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience a muted response as investors reassess future growth.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 7.39%, reflecting market disappointment and potential concerns about the company's direction.
The lines on the call that would change the story.