Equity Profile

GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$5.4B

Nov5Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on advanced technologies for vehicle performance and efficiency....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales and capture market share, particularly in a competitive automotive industry.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GTX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on advanced technologies for vehicle performance and efficiency. As consumer spending shifts towards more efficient and eco-friendly vehicles, Garrett's innovations in turbocharging and electrification are increasingly relevant.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.87%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.77%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Garrett reported an EPS of $0.49, exceeding expectations by 15.29%, which led to a significant stock price increase of nearly 25% the following day. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are optimistic about Garrett's upcoming earnings, especially given the company's strong track record of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of revenue guidance adds a layer of uncertainty.

Bull Case

If Garrett continues its trend of exceeding EPS expectations, it could signal strong operational performance and market demand, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sell-off, especially given the recent volatility in the stock.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected EPS for this quarter?

Given Garrett's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial in determining market sentiment.

What is the outlook for revenue growth in the upcoming quarters?

Revenue growth will indicate the company's ability to capitalize on market trends and consumer demand, which is essential for long-term investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Garrett's ability to leverage its recent technological advancements in turbocharging, which could drive higher-than-expected revenue growth this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Garrett has consistently beaten EPS expectations, suggesting strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, indicating potential for a larger reaction.

Key Risk

If Garrett's revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter market perceptions.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market will closely watch Garrett's ability to maintain its earnings momentum amidst competitive pressures in the automotive sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm the bullish sentiment and suggest strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 could validate concerns about the company's growth and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.25%

Historical Avg

±11.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 7.25% in either direction, indicating some uncertainty ahead of the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±7.3% while GTX has averaged ±11.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

75.6%

Calls (90K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Garrett beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 6.5%, confirming the company's strong performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty about future growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 7.39%, as investors reassess the company's growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches or technological advancements.
2Insights into market demand for automotive parts and how Garrett is positioned.
3Comments on supply chain challenges and their impact on production.
4Guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.
5Management's outlook on the competitive landscape in the automotive sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on advanced technologies for vehicle performance and efficiency....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales and capture market share, particularly in a competitive automotive industry.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GTX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.87%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.77%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Garrett continues its trend of exceeding EPS expectations, it could signal strong operational performance and market demand, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sell-off, especially given the recent volatility in the stock.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected EPS for this quarter?

Given Garrett's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial in determining market sentiment.

What is the outlook for revenue growth in the upcoming quarters?

Revenue growth will indicate the company's ability to capitalize on market trends and consumer demand, which is essential for long-term investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Garrett's ability to leverage its recent technological advancements in turbocharging, which could drive higher-than-expected revenue growth this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Garrett has consistently beaten EPS expectations, suggesting strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, indicating potential for a larger reaction.

Key Risk

If Garrett's revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter market perceptions.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market will closely watch Garrett's ability to maintain its earnings momentum amidst competitive pressures in the automotive sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm the bullish sentiment and suggest strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 could validate concerns about the company's growth and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.25%

Historical Avg

±11.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 7.25% in either direction, indicating some uncertainty ahead of the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±7.3% while GTX has averaged ±11.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

75.6%

Calls (90K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Garrett beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 6.5%, confirming the company's strong performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty about future growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 7.39%, as investors reassess the company's growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches or technological advancements.
2Insights into market demand for automotive parts and how Garrett is positioned.
3Comments on supply chain challenges and their impact on production.
4Guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.
5Management's outlook on the competitive landscape in the automotive sector.