Equity Profile

GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$5.9B

Nov5Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on turbocharging technologies and electric vehicle components....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and adapt to industry trends.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GTX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on turbocharging technologies and electric vehicle components. As the automotive industry shifts towards electrification and efficiency, Garrett's innovations are crucial for meeting evolving consumer demands and regulatory standards.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.87%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.77%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Garrett reported an EPS of $0.49, surpassing expectations by 15.29%. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 25% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are anticipating strong earnings due to Garrett's recent performance and the ongoing demand for automotive technologies. However, uncertainty remains regarding revenue figures.

Bull Case

If Garrett continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal robust demand and operational efficiency, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if revenue growth does not meet expectations, it may raise concerns about the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities, leading to a negative stock reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of Garrett's ability to capture market share and adapt to industry trends, especially with the rise of electric vehicles.

How is Garrett addressing the shift towards electric vehicles?

Understanding Garrett's strategy in the electric vehicle space will provide insight into its long-term growth potential and competitive positioning.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Garrett's ability to leverage its technology in the growing electric vehicle market, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

Garrett's recent EPS surprises indicate a strong operational performance that may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting a potential underestimation of volatility and market reaction.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds 10%, it could significantly shift market sentiment and expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around Garrett's ability to sustain growth amid changing automotive trends and consumer preferences.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of 10% or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

If revenue growth falls below 5%, it would raise significant concerns about market competitiveness.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.25%

Historical Avg

±11.12%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a moderate move around the earnings report, suggesting that investors expect some volatility.

Options are pricing a smaller move than the historical average, indicating a potential opportunity for greater volatility.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

75.6%

Calls (90K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Garrett beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 6.5%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience minimal movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of approximately 7.39%, as investors react negatively to disappointing performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships in the electric vehicle sector.
2Details on production capacity and supply chain management.
3Insights into market demand for turbochargers and other products.
4Management's outlook on future revenue growth and profitability.
5Responses to competitive pressures and market challenges.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on turbocharging technologies and electric vehicle components....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and adapt to industry trends.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GTX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.87%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.77%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Garrett reported an EPS of $0.49, surpassing expectations by 15.29%. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 25% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are anticipating strong earnings due to Garrett's recent performance and the ongoing demand for automotive technologies. However, uncertainty remains regarding revenue figures.

Bull Case

If Garrett continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal robust demand and operational efficiency, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if revenue growth does not meet expectations, it may raise concerns about the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities, leading to a negative stock reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of Garrett's ability to capture market share and adapt to industry trends, especially with the rise of electric vehicles.

How is Garrett addressing the shift towards electric vehicles?

Understanding Garrett's strategy in the electric vehicle space will provide insight into its long-term growth potential and competitive positioning.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Garrett's ability to leverage its technology in the growing electric vehicle market, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

Garrett's recent EPS surprises indicate a strong operational performance that may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting a potential underestimation of volatility and market reaction.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds 10%, it could significantly shift market sentiment and expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around Garrett's ability to sustain growth amid changing automotive trends and consumer preferences.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of 10% or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

If revenue growth falls below 5%, it would raise significant concerns about market competitiveness.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.25%

Historical Avg

±11.12%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a moderate move around the earnings report, suggesting that investors expect some volatility.

Options are pricing a smaller move than the historical average, indicating a potential opportunity for greater volatility.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

75.6%

Calls (90K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Garrett beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 6.5%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience minimal movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of approximately 7.39%, as investors react negatively to disappointing performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships in the electric vehicle sector.
2Details on production capacity and supply chain management.
3Insights into market demand for turbochargers and other products.
4Management's outlook on future revenue growth and profitability.
5Responses to competitive pressures and market challenges.