Equity Profile

GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$6.0B

Nov5Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, specializing in turbocharging technologies that enhance vehicle performance and efficiency....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insight into demand for Garrett's products and overall market performance.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GTX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, specializing in turbocharging technologies that enhance vehicle performance and efficiency. With a market cap of $6 billion, the company is positioned to benefit from trends in consumer spending and the growing demand for fuel-efficient vehicles.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.87%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.77%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Garrett reported an EPS of $0.49, exceeding expectations by 15.29%. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 25% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Garrett's upcoming earnings, especially given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If Garrett continues its trend of exceeding EPS expectations, it could see significant stock price appreciation, similar to previous quarters.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price, especially given the volatility seen in past earnings reactions.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given Garrett's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial for market sentiment and stock performance.

How does Garrett plan to address supply chain challenges?

Supply chain issues have impacted many companies in the automotive sector, and Garrett's response will be key to understanding its future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Garrett's ability to navigate supply chain issues effectively, which could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Garrett has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting strong operational management.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, indicating potential underestimation of volatility.

Recent trends in automotive demand may not be fully reflected in current analyst expectations.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in above $0.50, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and lead to a significant stock rally.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing Garrett's ability to maintain profitability against ongoing supply chain pressures and demand fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential operational challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.25%

Historical Avg

±11.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 7.25%, suggesting that investors are anticipating some volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±7.3% while GTX has averaged ±11.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

75.6%

Calls (90K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (4K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Garrett beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 6.5%, confirming the positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious in-line report could lead to muted reactions, as investors assess management's commentary on future guidance.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, the stock could drop by about 7.39%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain management and its impact on production.
2Details on revenue growth and demand for Garrett's products.
3Insights into future guidance and market expectations.
4Management's commentary on competitive positioning in the automotive parts sector.
5Any new developments in technology or product offerings.

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Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, specializing in turbocharging technologies that enhance vehicle performance and efficiency....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insight into demand for Garrett's products and overall market performance.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GTX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.87%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.77%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Garrett reported an EPS of $0.49, exceeding expectations by 15.29%. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 25% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Garrett's upcoming earnings, especially given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If Garrett continues its trend of exceeding EPS expectations, it could see significant stock price appreciation, similar to previous quarters.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price, especially given the volatility seen in past earnings reactions.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given Garrett's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial for market sentiment and stock performance.

How does Garrett plan to address supply chain challenges?

Supply chain issues have impacted many companies in the automotive sector, and Garrett's response will be key to understanding its future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Garrett's ability to navigate supply chain issues effectively, which could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Garrett has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting strong operational management.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, indicating potential underestimation of volatility.

Recent trends in automotive demand may not be fully reflected in current analyst expectations.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in above $0.50, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and lead to a significant stock rally.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing Garrett's ability to maintain profitability against ongoing supply chain pressures and demand fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential operational challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.25%

Historical Avg

±11.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 7.25%, suggesting that investors are anticipating some volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±7.3% while GTX has averaged ±11.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

75.6%

Calls (90K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (4K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Garrett beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 6.5%, confirming the positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious in-line report could lead to muted reactions, as investors assess management's commentary on future guidance.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, the stock could drop by about 7.39%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain management and its impact on production.
2Details on revenue growth and demand for Garrett's products.
3Insights into future guidance and market expectations.
4Management's commentary on competitive positioning in the automotive parts sector.
5Any new developments in technology or product offerings.