Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, Jun 4, 2026
EPS actual
$0.82
EPS est.
$0.35
EPS surprise
+136.31%
1-day move
-2.48%
Guidewire Software reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which indicates stronger profitability than analysts anticipated. However, the stock fell by 2.48% in reaction to the earnings report, likely due to the absence of revenue figures and guidance, leaving investors uncertain about future performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.82 | $0.74 | +10.81% |
| Revenue | N/A | $356M | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Guidewire Software, Inc. provides software solutions for the insurance industry, helping companies manage their operations more efficiently. As a player in the Information Technology sector, it focuses on application software that supports critical functions like policy administration and claims management.
Last quarter
In Q2-2026, Guidewire reported an impressive EPS of $1.17, significantly exceeding expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 4.58% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+308.46%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.33%
Analysts are generally optimistic about Guidewire's upcoming earnings, expecting solid performance based on recent trends. The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past.
Bull case
If Guidewire maintains its strong growth trajectory and delivers better-than-expected results, it could signal robust demand for its software solutions.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a decline in investor confidence and stock price.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.74Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating revenue.
Revenue
$356MTotal revenue reflects the company's ability to attract and retain customers, which is crucial for growth in the competitive software market.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.74?
A strong EPS would reinforce the company's growth narrative and could lead to a positive stock reaction.
Q2
What guidance will management provide for future revenue growth?
Investors will be keen to understand the company's outlook and any potential challenges in the market.
Est. EPS
$1.03
Est. Rev
$433M
Impl. Move
±17.3%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the potential for Guidewire's new product offerings to drive revenue growth beyond current expectations.
Supporting evidence
Recent earnings surprises indicate strong operational execution.
The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages suggest.
Management's past commitments to innovation could lead to unexpected revenue streams.
Key risk
If the company fails to deliver on new product launches, it could significantly impact revenue growth.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter, the focus is on whether Guidewire can sustain its impressive earnings momentum amidst a competitive landscape.
Bull confirmed if
Delivering an EPS of $0.80 or higher would confirm strong operational performance.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.65 would raise concerns about profitability and growth.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±15.24%
Historical Avg
±2.6%
The options market is pricing in a significant move following the earnings report, indicating heightened investor uncertainty.
Options are pricing ±15.2% while GWRE has averaged ±2.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.9%
30d HV
61.9%
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$354,204.00
2,400 sh
1 insider
Net
$354,204.00
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 2 open-market trades
$354,204.00
Net selling
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Guidewire beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 2.08%, confirming strong demand for its products.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but management is cautious, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors weigh future growth prospects.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.47%, raising red flags about its growth trajectory.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Recent Transactions
Oct 5, 2026 · @ $152.52
1,200 sh
$183,024.00
Sep 28, 2026 · @ $142.65
1,200 sh
$171,180.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.