Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, May 13, 2026
EPS actual
$1.39
EPS est.
$1.09
EPS surprise
+27.17%
1-day move
-0.52%
Hasbro reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which indicates stronger profitability than analysts anticipated. However, the stock reacted negatively, declining by 0.5%. The lack of revenue information and guidance may have contributed to investor uncertainty.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.39 | $1.26 | +27.17% |
| Revenue | — | $1.0B | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Hasbro, Inc. is a leading toy and entertainment company known for its iconic brands like Monopoly and Transformers. Operating in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Hasbro's performance is closely tied to consumer spending trends and the leisure products market.
Last quarter
In Q4-2025, Hasbro reported an impressive EPS of $1.51, significantly beating estimates. The stock reacted positively, gaining 7.48% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+33.39%
Avg 1-day reaction
+5.01%
Overall, investors are optimistic about Hasbro's upcoming earnings, especially given its recent strong performance. However, there are concerns about potential market saturation and competition.
Bull case
If Hasbro continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal robust demand for its products and effective cost management, leading to a strong stock performance.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of declining toy sales, it could lead to a negative market reaction.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What will be the reported EPS for this quarter?
The EPS figure will be crucial in determining whether Hasbro can maintain its trend of beating expectations and reassure investors.
Q2
How did toy sales perform during the holiday season?
Holiday sales are critical for Hasbro, and insights into this will indicate consumer demand and future revenue potential.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±3.4%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the impact of Hasbro's new product lines and digital gaming initiatives, which could drive stronger-than-expected sales.
Supporting evidence
Hasbro's recent product launches have generated positive buzz, suggesting potential for higher sales.
The company's focus on digital engagement may resonate well with younger consumers, boosting toy sales.
Historical trends show that Hasbro often outperforms expectations during key sales periods.
Key risk
If toy sales significantly exceed expectations, it could challenge the current cautious outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will be closely watched as it could either reinforce Hasbro's growth trajectory or highlight emerging challenges.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.60 or higher would confirm strong profitability and effective cost management.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.00 would raise concerns about declining sales and profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±7.72%
Historical Avg
±6.9%
The options market is pricing in a significant move for Hasbro's stock, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±7.7% while HAS has averaged ±6.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.
ATM IV
0.4%
30d HV
39.9%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
101.09%
of float
Insider
0.58%
of float
Holders
1,043
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
26,694,382 sh · $2.4B
18.93%
5.5%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Hasbro beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 5.89%, confirming strong demand and management effectiveness.
In line / cautious
If results are in line, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors weigh cautious commentary from management.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of around 0.94%, reflecting disappointment in sales performance or profitability.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
9,009,485 sh · $817.6M
6.39%
1.2%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
7,099,187 sh · $644.3M
5.03%
1.0%
State Street Corporation
5,966,254 sh · $541.4M
4.23%
3.7%
Geode Capital Management, LLC
4,180,542 sh · $379.4M
2.96%
4.0%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.