Financials·Investment Banking & Brokerage·$11.0B
Houlihan Lokey Inc Class A (HLI) is a financial services firm specializing in investment banking and brokerage. With a market cap of $11 billion, it plays a significant role in advising clients on mergers, acquisitions, and capital raising, making it a key player in the financial sector.
EPS
Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability and reflects the company's ability to generate earnings for shareholders.
Revenue
Revenue indicates the overall sales performance and market demand for Houlihan Lokey's services, which is vital for assessing growth.
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EPS Beat Streak
6Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+10.73%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.18%
In Q3-2026, Houlihan Lokey reported an EPS of $1.94, exceeding estimates by 5.15%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.49% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect Houlihan Lokey to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $1.79. The company has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates.
Bull Case
If Houlihan Lokey exceeds EPS expectations, it could signal robust demand for its services, leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company misses its EPS target, it may raise concerns about market conditions and demand for investment banking services.
EPS
$1.79Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability and reflects the company's ability to generate earnings for shareholders.
Revenue
$679MRevenue indicates the overall sales performance and market demand for Houlihan Lokey's services, which is vital for assessing growth.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.79?
A beat on EPS could reinforce investor confidence and indicate strong operational performance.
Q2
What insights can management provide regarding revenue growth and market demand?
Understanding revenue trends will be crucial for assessing the company's future growth prospects.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate Houlihan Lokey's ability to capitalize on a recovering market, leading to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.
Supporting Evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.
Recent trends in M&A activity suggest increased demand for advisory services, which may not be fully reflected in consensus estimates.
Key Risk
If revenue growth exceeds $700M, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter, the focus is on whether Houlihan Lokey can maintain its strong earnings trajectory amid market fluctuations.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $1.85 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong earnings growth.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $1.70 would support the bear case, raising concerns about demand and profitability.
Implied Move
±N/A
There is no options market data available to gauge investor sentiment ahead of the earnings report.
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat setup in Financials
n=30Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Financials in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 1.6%, with a raw directional average of +0.3% (modestly positive historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Houlihan Lokey beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.12%, confirming strong demand.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the market may react cautiously, leading to muted stock movement.
Miss
A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 0.60%.
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PARAMOUNT SKYDANCE C Class B
May 4, 2026