Post-earnings recap
Reported
Mon, May 4, 2026
EPS actual
$0.15
EPS est.
$0.04
EPS surprise
+275.00%
1-day move
+8.23%
Ichor Holdings reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which likely contributed to the stock's 8.23% increase. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance. Investors may view the EPS beat as a positive sign for the company's profitability.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.15 | $0.13 | +275.00% |
| Revenue | — | $251M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) operates in the semiconductor materials and equipment sector, providing critical components for the semiconductor manufacturing process. As technology continues to advance, especially in areas like AI and cloud computing, the demand for semiconductors is expected to grow, making Ichor's role increasingly important.
Last quarter
In Q4-2025, Ichor surprised analysts with an EPS of $0.01, significantly beating expectations of a loss. The stock reacted positively, gaining 6.10% the next day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
5Q
EPS beat rate
88%
Avg EPS surprise
+261.08%
Avg 1-day reaction
+3.60%
Analysts expect Ichor to report a modest profit this quarter, with EPS estimates at $0.13 and revenue around $251 million. The market is watching closely for any signs of growth in demand.
Bull case
If Ichor exceeds EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could indicate a robust recovery in the semiconductor market, leading to increased investor confidence.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about ongoing challenges in the semiconductor industry, negatively impacting the stock.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.13Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating profit.
Revenue
$251MRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand for its products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Ichor's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.13?
A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's recovery narrative and could lead to a positive stock reaction.
Q2
What guidance will management provide regarding revenue growth in the semiconductor sector?
Investors will be looking for insights into future demand and how Ichor plans to navigate market challenges.
—
Est. EPS
$0.01
Est. Rev
$918M
Impl. Move
±9.1%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Ichor's ability to capitalize on recent industry trends, particularly in advanced semiconductor manufacturing.
Supporting evidence
The company has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, with an 88% beat rate over the last eight quarters.
Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that traders are anticipating a larger reaction than what the consensus reflects.
Key risk
If the company reports strong demand from key customers, it could challenge the current cautious outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate revolves around whether Ichor can sustain profitability and growth amid fluctuating demand in the semiconductor industry.
Bull confirmed if
EPS of $0.15 or higher with revenue exceeding $255M would confirm a strong recovery.
Bear confirmed if
EPS below $0.12 or revenue below $250M would signal ongoing challenges in the market.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±19.47%
Historical Avg
±4.0%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±19.5% while ICHR has averaged ±4.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.3%
30d HV
76.9%
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$185,486.92
2,838 sh
2 insiders
Net
$185,486.92
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 2 open-market trades
$140,695.03
Net selling
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
92.47%
of float
Insider
1.43%
of float
Holders
442
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
5,322,218 sh · $324.0M
14.21%
1.7%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Ichor beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.92%, confirming a positive outlook for the company.
In line / cautious
An in-line report may lead to muted reactions as investors assess management's commentary on future growth.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of about 0.71%, raising concerns about its market position.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
0 buys·1 sell
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$1.00–$1,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
$44,791.89
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Oct 2, 2026 · @ $65.47
2,149 sh
$140,695.03
Oct 2, 2026 · @ $65.01
689 sh
$44,791.89
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Invesco Ltd.
2,902,939 sh · $176.7M
7.75%
57.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
2,069,168 sh · $126.0M
5.52%
19.8%
Capital International Investors
2,043,596 sh · $124.4M
5.46%
100.0%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
1,481,002 sh · $90.1M
3.95%
2.5%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Jun 17, 2026 · disclosed Jul 14, 2026
$1.00–$1,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.