Equity Profile

INTC

Intel Corporation

Information TechnologySemiconductors$531.2B

Jul23Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Intel Corporation (INTC) is a leading semiconductor company that designs and manufactures essential components for computers and other electronic devices. As a key player in the information technology sector, Intel's performance is closely tied to trends in AI, cloud computing, and consumer electronics.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well Intel is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for understanding Intel's market position and demand for its products, especially in a competitive semiconductor landscape.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

INTC Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+273.98%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.15%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Intel reported an EPS of $0.29, significantly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 2.31% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving supply chain efficiencies.
Commitment to advancing AI and cloud technologies.
Plans to enhance product offerings in the data center segment.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, Wall Street is cautiously optimistic about Intel's upcoming earnings, given its recent strong performance. However, concerns about market competition and supply chain challenges remain.

Bull Case

If Intel continues to outperform expectations, particularly in EPS and revenue growth, it could signal a strong recovery and increased market share in the semiconductor industry.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if Intel fails to meet earnings expectations or shows signs of declining margins, it could lead to a significant sell-off, reflecting ongoing competitive pressures.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS figure for this quarter?

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will significantly influence investor sentiment and stock performance.

How is Intel addressing supply chain challenges?

Given the ongoing global supply chain issues, Intel's response will be critical for its operational efficiency and future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Intel's ability to leverage its recent technological advancements in AI and cloud computing, which could drive better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Intel's recent EPS surprises indicate strong operational performance despite market challenges.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for significant upside.

Management's focus on supply chain improvements could mitigate risks that analysts are overlooking.

Key Risk

If Intel's EPS exceeds $0.35, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and lead to a reevaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it will reflect Intel's ability to navigate market challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.35 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.20 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about Intel's competitiveness.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.71%

Historical Avg

±3.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating heightened uncertainty or anticipation around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±15.7% while INTC has averaged ±3.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

99.1%

Calls (14.1M)P/C Ratio: 0.66Puts (8.9M)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Intel beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.33%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 3.50%, reflecting disappointment in performance and potential concerns about future growth.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on AI and cloud product developments.
2Details on supply chain management and cost control measures.
3Guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.
4Any commentary on competitive pressures in the semiconductor market.
5Insights into future product launches and innovations.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well Intel is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for understanding Intel's market position and demand for its products, especially in a competitive semiconductor landscape.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

INTC Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+273.98%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.15%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Intel reported an EPS of $0.29, significantly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 2.31% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving supply chain efficiencies.
Commitment to advancing AI and cloud technologies.
Plans to enhance product offerings in the data center segment.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, Wall Street is cautiously optimistic about Intel's upcoming earnings, given its recent strong performance. However, concerns about market competition and supply chain challenges remain.

Bull Case

If Intel continues to outperform expectations, particularly in EPS and revenue growth, it could signal a strong recovery and increased market share in the semiconductor industry.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if Intel fails to meet earnings expectations or shows signs of declining margins, it could lead to a significant sell-off, reflecting ongoing competitive pressures.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS figure for this quarter?

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will significantly influence investor sentiment and stock performance.

How is Intel addressing supply chain challenges?

Given the ongoing global supply chain issues, Intel's response will be critical for its operational efficiency and future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Intel's ability to leverage its recent technological advancements in AI and cloud computing, which could drive better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Intel's recent EPS surprises indicate strong operational performance despite market challenges.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for significant upside.

Management's focus on supply chain improvements could mitigate risks that analysts are overlooking.

Key Risk

If Intel's EPS exceeds $0.35, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and lead to a reevaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it will reflect Intel's ability to navigate market challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.35 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.20 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about Intel's competitiveness.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.71%

Historical Avg

±3.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating heightened uncertainty or anticipation around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±15.7% while INTC has averaged ±3.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

99.1%

Calls (14.1M)P/C Ratio: 0.66Puts (8.9M)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Intel beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.33%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 3.50%, reflecting disappointment in performance and potential concerns about future growth.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on AI and cloud product developments.
2Details on supply chain management and cost control measures.
3Guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.
4Any commentary on competitive pressures in the semiconductor market.
5Insights into future product launches and innovations.