Pre-earnings brief
Reports
Thu, Dec 3, 2026
Est. EPS
—
Est. revenue
—
Implied move
±12.6%
EPS beat rate
100%
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±21.3%
Samsara Inc. is a technology company that provides IoT solutions for fleet management, asset tracking, and environmental monitoring. As a player in the information technology sector, it leverages data to help businesses improve efficiency and reduce costs, which is increasingly important in today's digital economy.
Last quarter
In Q2-2027, Samsara reported an impressive EPS of $0.20, significantly beating estimates by over 800%. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+629.62%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.82%
Investors are optimistic about Samsara's upcoming earnings, especially given its history of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of revenue guidance may lead to uncertainty in market reactions.
Bull case
If Samsara continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong customer growth, it could reinforce investor confidence and drive the stock price higher.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the high implied volatility in the options market.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$0.20EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, and investors will be keen to see if Samsara can maintain its strong performance.
Revenue Growth
N/AWhile specific revenue estimates are not available, growth in revenue is crucial for understanding the company's market position and demand for its services.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
How many new customers did Samsara acquire this quarter?
Customer acquisition is critical for growth, and any significant increase could signal strong demand for their services.
Q2
What are the company's revenue projections for the next quarter?
Revenue guidance will help investors gauge the company's future performance and overall market health.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the potential for Samsara to exceed customer growth expectations, given its recent performance and market demand for IoT solutions.
Supporting evidence
Samsara has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational execution.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that investors are expecting significant news.
Insider selling may indicate a strategic shift rather than a lack of confidence in the company's future.
Key risk
If customer growth comes in significantly higher than expected, it could challenge the current cautious outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is weighing the potential for continued strong earnings against the uncertainty of revenue growth and customer retention.
Bull confirmed if
Achieving an EPS of $0.20 or higher with strong customer growth metrics.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.15 or stagnant customer growth would raise concerns.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±18.96%
Historical Avg
±2.9%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move following the earnings report, indicating heightened uncertainty among investors.
Options are pricing ±12.6% while IOT has averaged ±2.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.6%
30d HV
56.7%
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$21.5M
565,078 sh
4 insiders
Net
$21.5M
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 30 open-market trades
$10.0M
Net selling
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Samsara beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a positive reaction with an average move of +0.82%.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations but lack strong guidance, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess.
Miss
A miss on EPS could lead to a significant drop, with historical patterns suggesting an average decline of around -3.11%.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Customer Growth Rate
N/AAn increase in customers indicates the company's ability to attract and retain clients, which is vital for long-term success.
$10.0M
Net selling
$1.2M
Net selling
$285,432.87
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Sep 29, 2026 · @ $37.68
101,968 sh
$3.8M
Sep 29, 2026 · @ $37.67
101,198 sh
$3.8M
Sep 30, 2026 · @ $38.39
76,831 sh
$2.9M
Sep 30, 2026 · @ $38.39
76,359 sh
$2.9M
Sep 29, 2026 · @ $37.68
35,116 sh
$1.3M
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.