Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, Apr 28, 2026
EPS actual
$0.77
EPS est.
$0.71
EPS surprise
+7.69%
1-day move
-3.36%
Ingersoll Rand's earnings report shows a positive surprise in EPS, indicating better-than-expected profitability. However, the stock fell by 3.36%, likely due to the absence of revenue figures and guidance, which may raise concerns among investors about future performance. The cautious tone from management suggests they are aware of market challenges ahead.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.77 | $0.74 | +7.69% |
| Revenue | N/A | $1.8B | N/A |
Overall, management expressed confidence in their operational strategies. They acknowledged ongoing market pressures but remain focused on long-term growth.
Management highlighted strong operational performance despite market challenges.
They emphasized a focus on cost management and efficiency improvements.
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) is a leading manufacturer in the industrial machinery sector, focusing on providing innovative solutions for air and fluid management. With a market cap of $33 billion, the company plays a crucial role in various industries, including manufacturing and construction, where efficiency and reliability are key themes.
Last quarter
In Q4-2025, Ingersoll Rand reported an EPS of $0.96, exceeding estimates by 8.72%. However, the stock declined by 2.63% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+5.56%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.98%
Analysts expect Ingersoll Rand to report solid earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $0.74 and revenue of $1.8 billion. The market is closely watching for any signs of growth or challenges in demand.
Bull case
If Ingersoll Rand beats expectations, it could signal strong demand in the industrial sector, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company misses estimates, it may raise concerns about slowing growth in the industrial sector, negatively impacting investor sentiment.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
0.74Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
1.8BTotal revenue indicates the company's ability to generate sales and is essential for understanding growth trends.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.74?
A beat on EPS would reinforce confidence in the company's profitability and growth potential.
Q2
What is the outlook for revenue growth in the upcoming quarters?
Guidance on revenue growth will be critical for assessing the company's performance and market demand.
—
Est. EPS
$1.52
Est. Rev
$3.6B
Impl. Move
±39.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Ingersoll Rand's ability to capitalize on emerging industrial trends, particularly in sustainability and efficiency.
Supporting evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger-than-expected performance.
Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors are anticipating volatility, which could favor a positive surprise.
Key risk
If revenue growth shows signs of acceleration, it could challenge the current cautious outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Ingersoll Rand can sustain its growth trajectory amid economic uncertainties.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.77 or higher would confirm strong profitability and investor confidence.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.73 would indicate potential challenges in maintaining profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±8.88%
Historical Avg
±1.6%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±6.9% while IR has averaged ±1.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.4%
30d HV
38.2%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
105.94%
of float
Insider
0.21%
of float
Holders
1,277
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
30,300,264 sh · $2.3B
7.81%
3.4%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Ingersoll Rand beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see a positive reaction, potentially around a 1.32% move.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a negative reaction, with historical patterns suggesting a potential decline around 1.32%.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Capital World Investors
27,934,411 sh · $2.2B
7.20%
-10.6%
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc
27,030,168 sh · $2.1B
6.97%
33.0%
Capital Research Global Investors
25,215,025 sh · $1.9B
6.50%
-14.4%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
24,476,450 sh · $1.9B
6.31%
0.5%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.