Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, May 6, 2026
EPS actual
$1.98
EPS est.
$1.77
EPS surprise
+11.86%
1-day move
+1.85%
ITT's earnings report shows a strong performance in EPS, exceeding expectations by nearly 12%. The stock reacted positively, rising 1.85% in response to this earnings surprise. However, the lack of revenue data and guidance leaves some uncertainty about future performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.98 | $1.74 | +11.86% |
| Revenue | — | $1.1B | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
ITT Inc. is a global manufacturer of industrial machinery and components, playing a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation, energy, and water management. With a market cap of $19 billion, the company is positioned in the industrials sector, which is influenced by trends in infrastructure spending and manufacturing demand.
Last quarter
In Q4-2025, ITT reported an EPS of $1.85, exceeding expectations by 3.18%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 9.13% the following day.
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+4.47%
Avg 1-day reaction
+4.16%
Analysts expect ITT to continue its strong performance with an EPS of $1.74 and revenue of $1.1 billion. The company has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates.
Bull case
If ITT beats earnings expectations again, it could signal strong operational efficiency and demand, potentially leading to a stock price increase.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations, it may raise concerns about future growth and market conditions, leading to a negative stock reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$1.74Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.
Revenue
$1.1BTotal revenue provides insight into the company's sales performance and demand for its products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will ITT's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.74?
A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could lead to a positive market reaction.
Q2
What specific revenue figures will ITT report, and how do they compare to the $1.1 billion consensus?
Revenue performance is critical for assessing demand and operational health, which could influence investor sentiment.
—
Est. EPS
$0.01
Est. Rev
$918M
Impl. Move
±9.1%
Why consensus could be wrong
While analysts expect ITT to meet or exceed EPS estimates, the market may be underestimating the potential for significant revenue growth driven by increased infrastructure spending.
Supporting evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational execution.
Options are pricing a 7.2% move, suggesting that traders anticipate greater volatility than historical averages.
Recent insider buying activity may indicate confidence in the company's future performance.
Key risk
If revenue growth significantly outpaces expectations, it could shift the narrative around ITT's market position.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is under scrutiny as ITT has consistently beaten EPS estimates, and any deviation could impact investor confidence.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.80 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.61 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues with demand or cost management.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±7.20%
Historical Avg
±4.7%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±7.0% while ITT has averaged ±4.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.5%
30d HV
35.1%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials
Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.9%, with a raw directional average of -0.5% (modestly negative historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
101.15%
of float
Insider
0.53%
of float
Holders
910
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
8,675,129 sh · $1.7B
9.70%
2.9%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If ITT beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.64%, confirming the company's strong operational trend.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.
Miss
A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 4.48%.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
0 buys·1 sell
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$250,001.00–$500,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Capital International Investors
6,130,535 sh · $1.2B
6.86%
1.8%
FMR, LLC
4,822,715 sh · $966.4M
5.39%
-2.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
4,253,450 sh · $852.3M
4.76%
1.8%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
4,044,650 sh · $810.5M
4.52%
4.8%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Aug 25, 2026 · disclosed Sep 9, 2026
$250,001.00–$500,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.