Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
EPS actual
$2.08
EPS est.
$1.93
EPS surprise
+7.77%
1-day move
+5.06%
ITT's earnings report shows a strong performance in EPS, exceeding expectations by nearly 8%. This positive surprise likely contributed to the stock's 5.06% increase in value following the announcement. However, the lack of revenue data and management commentary leaves some uncertainty about the overall business outlook.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $2.08 | $1.95 | +7.77% |
| Revenue | N/A | $1.4B | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
ITT Inc. is a global manufacturer of industrial machinery and supplies, focusing on providing innovative solutions across various sectors. With a market cap of $19 billion, the company plays a crucial role in the industrial sector, which is seeing increasing demand due to trends in automation and infrastructure development.
Last quarter
In Q1 2026, ITT reported an EPS of $1.98, exceeding estimates by 11.86%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.85% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+4.47%
Avg 1-day reaction
+4.16%
Analysts expect ITT to report strong earnings, with a consensus EPS of $1.95. The company has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates, which may lead to positive market reactions.
Bull case
If ITT exceeds EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand and operational efficiency, leading to a significant stock price increase.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about future growth, resulting in a negative market reaction.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$1.95EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.
Revenue
$1.4BRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will ITT's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.95?
A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could lead to a positive stock reaction.
Q2
What guidance will management provide regarding future revenue growth?
Guidance on revenue growth will be crucial for assessing the company's outlook and market position.
—
Est. EPS
$1.00
Est. Rev
$14.1B
Impl. Move
±11.9%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating ITT's ability to exceed the consensus EPS of $1.95, given its strong historical performance and operational improvements.
Supporting evidence
ITT has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past quarters, achieving a 100% beat rate.
The options market is pricing for a larger move than historical averages, indicating heightened expectations.
Management's focus on operational efficiency may lead to better-than-expected margins.
Key risk
If the company reports an EPS below $1.91, it could challenge the current bullish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate this quarter revolves around whether ITT can sustain its earnings momentum amid market challenges.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.99 or higher, along with revenue growth exceeding $1.4B, would confirm the bull case.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.91 would support the bear case.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±9.66%
Historical Avg
±4.25%
The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility.
Options are pricing a 9.66% move, while the stock has averaged only 4.25% over the last 8 quarters, indicating a rich setup.
ATM IV
0.4%
30d HV
27.4%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials
Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.8%, with a raw directional average of +1.9% (modestly positive historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
101.15%
of float
Insider
0.53%
of float
Holders
910
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
8,675,129 sh · $1.7B
9.70%
2.9%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If ITT beats expectations, history suggests a positive stock reaction, averaging a 3.33% increase the following day.
In line / cautious
An in-line report may lead to muted reactions, with management commentary potentially driving the stock in either direction.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history suggests a negative reaction, with an average decline of around 0% based on past data.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
0 buys·1 sell
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$250,001.00–$500,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Capital International Investors
6,130,535 sh · $1.2B
6.86%
1.8%
FMR, LLC
4,822,715 sh · $966.4M
5.39%
-2.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
4,253,450 sh · $852.3M
4.76%
1.8%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
4,044,650 sh · $810.5M
4.52%
4.8%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Aug 25, 2026 · disclosed Sep 9, 2026
$250,001.00–$500,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.