Post-earnings recap
Reported
Mon, May 4, 2026
EPS actual
$0.41
EPS est.
$0.20
EPS surprise
+101.97%
1-day move
+3.81%
Lattice Semiconductor's strong EPS performance, beating expectations significantly, led to a positive stock reaction with a 3.81% increase. However, the lack of revenue data and guidance leaves some uncertainty about future performance. Investors may view the EPS beat as a positive sign, but the absence of additional context from management could lead to cautious sentiment moving forward.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.41 | $0.37 | +101.97% |
| Revenue | — | $165M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (LSCC) is a key player in the semiconductor industry, specializing in low-power, field-programmable gate arrays (FPGAs). As technology advances, demand for efficient and customizable semiconductor solutions is growing, particularly in areas like artificial intelligence and cloud computing.
Last quarter
In Q4-2025, Lattice Semiconductor surprised analysts with an EPS of $0.32, significantly above the expected $0.16. The stock reacted positively, gaining 3.90% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+134.27%
Avg 1-day reaction
+2.26%
Analysts are generally optimistic about Lattice Semiconductor's upcoming earnings, expecting continued strong performance based on historical trends.
Bull case
If the company beats EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal robust demand for its products, potentially leading to a significant stock price increase.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations, it may raise concerns about market demand and competitive pressures, leading to a negative reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
0.37Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and can indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.
Revenue
165MRevenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain customers, which is essential for long-term success.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Lattice Semiconductor achieve an EPS of $0.37 or higher?
This specific EPS target is crucial as it reflects the company's profitability and could influence investor sentiment significantly.
Q2
What is the revenue growth rate compared to the consensus of $165M?
Revenue performance is a key indicator of the company's market position and ability to capture demand in a competitive landscape.
—
Est. EPS
$0.01
Est. Rev
$918M
Impl. Move
±9.1%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Lattice's ability to leverage its FPGA technology in emerging markets, particularly in AI and cloud applications.
Supporting evidence
Historical EPS surprises indicate strong operational execution, which may not be fully reflected in current estimates.
The options market's implied volatility suggests that investors expect a larger reaction than what has been typical in the past.
Key risk
If the company reports revenue growth significantly above $165M, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is closely watching these metrics as they will indicate the company's ability to sustain growth amid competitive pressures.
Bull confirmed if
Achieving an EPS of $0.39 or higher with revenue exceeding $168M would confirm strong operational performance.
Bear confirmed if
Falling below an EPS of $0.36 or revenue under $160M would raise concerns about demand and profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±18.41%
Historical Avg
±2.6%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±18.4% while LSCC has averaged ±2.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.1%
30d HV
65.6%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
103.28%
of float
Insider
0.60%
of float
Holders
805
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
17,240,855 sh · $2.3B
12.58%
3.5%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Lattice beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of +1.20%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical data suggesting an average drop of around -0.53% following disappointing results.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc
13,584,962 sh · $1.8B
9.92%
-15.5%
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.
7,790,567 sh · $1.0B
5.69%
-52.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
7,206,731 sh · $944.0M
5.26%
-2.6%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
6,191,148 sh · $811.0M
4.52%
0.7%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.