Real Estate·Retail REITs·$5.5B
Macerich Co REIT (MAC) is a real estate investment trust that focuses on owning, operating, and developing retail properties. As a player in the retail sector, it is influenced by consumer spending trends and the ongoing evolution of shopping habits, especially in the wake of e-commerce growth.
EPS
Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a potential loss, which could signal ongoing challenges.
Revenue
Revenue figures will provide insight into foot traffic and sales performance at their retail properties, which are critical for overall health.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
1Q
EPS Beat Rate
25%
Avg EPS Surprise
-2.77%
Avg Stock Reaction
-1.85%
In Q4 2025, Macerich reported an EPS of $0.47, surpassing expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 2% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Macerich's upcoming earnings, with expectations of a slight loss in EPS but stable revenue figures. The market will be closely watching for any signs of recovery in retail traffic.
Bull Case
If Macerich can show resilience in revenue despite broader retail challenges, it may indicate a strong recovery in consumer spending and foot traffic.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company reports a larger-than-expected loss or declining revenue, it could signal deeper issues in the retail sector and negatively impact investor sentiment.
EPS
-$0.10Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a potential loss, which could signal ongoing challenges.
Revenue
$229MRevenue figures will provide insight into foot traffic and sales performance at their retail properties, which are critical for overall health.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What will the reported revenue be compared to the consensus of $229M?
Revenue performance will be a key indicator of how well Macerich is navigating the current retail landscape and attracting shoppers.
Q2
How does management view the current occupancy rates and future leasing activity?
Occupancy rates are critical for a REIT's income, and any commentary on future leasing could influence investor confidence.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the potential for a revenue rebound as consumer spending stabilizes, particularly in retail environments.
Supporting Evidence
Recent trends in consumer spending suggest a recovery that could benefit retail properties.
Macerich's focus on enhancing tenant mix may lead to better-than-expected occupancy rates.
Historical data shows that the stock has reacted positively after earnings beats, indicating potential for upside.
Key Risk
If revenue comes in below $221M, it could undermine the narrative of recovery in the retail sector.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Macerich can maintain its revenue levels amidst changing consumer behaviors and economic pressures.
Bull Confirmed If
Revenue exceeding $239M would confirm a stronger-than-expected recovery in retail traffic.
Bear Confirmed If
Revenue falling below $221M would indicate ongoing struggles in attracting tenants and shoppers.
Implied Move
±4.2%
The options market is pricing in a modest move around the earnings report, suggesting uncertainty about the results.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Macerich beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 5.45%, confirming a positive outlook.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, management's commentary will likely dictate the stock's direction, potentially leading to a muted reaction.
Miss
Should the company miss on earnings, history suggests a decline of about 0.70%, indicating negative sentiment could prevail.
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PARAMOUNT SKYDANCE C Class B
May 4, 2026