Equity Profile

MC

Moelis & Company

FinancialsInvestment Banking & Brokerage$5.2B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Moelis & Company (MC) is an investment banking firm that provides financial advisory services to clients globally. Operating in the financial sector, the company plays a crucial role in mergers and acquisitions, capital raising, and restructuring, which are essential for businesses navigating complex financial landscapes.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain clients, which is vital for its long-term success.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MC Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+48.47%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.22%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Moelis reported an EPS of $0.48, missing estimates by 18.78%. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 3.79% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Moelis's upcoming earnings are mixed, given the recent EPS miss and the lack of guidance.

Bull Case

Investors may be optimistic if the company can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved profitability, potentially reversing recent trends.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it could lead to further declines in stock price, especially given the current market volatility.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given the recent miss in Q1-2026, investors will be closely monitoring EPS to gauge the company's recovery and profitability.

How is revenue growth trending compared to previous quarters?

Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's ability to attract new business and retain clients, which directly impacts future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Moelis's ability to rebound from its recent EPS miss, as historical performance shows a strong recovery potential.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility which could favor a positive surprise.

Moelis has historically beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time, suggesting that the recent miss may not reflect the company's long-term potential.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $0.60, it could significantly shift market sentiment and validate the bull case.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it follows a disappointing EPS in the previous quarter, and investors are looking for signs of improvement.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.60 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating a strong recovery.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would confirm the bear case, suggesting ongoing struggles.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.47%

Historical Avg

±2.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±12.5% while MC has averaged ±2.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

29.2%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 1.25Puts (700)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Moelis beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.7%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain flat, reflecting cautious optimism without clear direction.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations again, history indicates a potential drop of about 3.79%, raising concerns about its growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on client engagement and new business wins.
2Details on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
3Insights into market conditions affecting investment banking activities.
4Management's outlook on future revenue growth and profitability.
5Responses to questions about competitive pressures in the investment banking sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain clients, which is vital for its long-term success.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MC Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+48.47%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.22%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Moelis reported an EPS of $0.48, missing estimates by 18.78%. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 3.79% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Moelis's upcoming earnings are mixed, given the recent EPS miss and the lack of guidance.

Bull Case

Investors may be optimistic if the company can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved profitability, potentially reversing recent trends.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it could lead to further declines in stock price, especially given the current market volatility.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given the recent miss in Q1-2026, investors will be closely monitoring EPS to gauge the company's recovery and profitability.

How is revenue growth trending compared to previous quarters?

Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's ability to attract new business and retain clients, which directly impacts future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Moelis's ability to rebound from its recent EPS miss, as historical performance shows a strong recovery potential.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility which could favor a positive surprise.

Moelis has historically beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time, suggesting that the recent miss may not reflect the company's long-term potential.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $0.60, it could significantly shift market sentiment and validate the bull case.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it follows a disappointing EPS in the previous quarter, and investors are looking for signs of improvement.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.60 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating a strong recovery.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would confirm the bear case, suggesting ongoing struggles.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.47%

Historical Avg

±2.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±12.5% while MC has averaged ±2.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

29.2%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 1.25Puts (700)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Moelis beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.7%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain flat, reflecting cautious optimism without clear direction.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations again, history indicates a potential drop of about 3.79%, raising concerns about its growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on client engagement and new business wins.
2Details on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
3Insights into market conditions affecting investment banking activities.
4Management's outlook on future revenue growth and profitability.
5Responses to questions about competitive pressures in the investment banking sector.