Financials·Financial Exchanges & Data·$79.7B
Moody's Corporation (MCO) is a leading provider of financial information and analytics, primarily serving the financial sector. The company plays a crucial role in assessing credit risk and providing data solutions, which are increasingly important in today's complex financial landscape.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of profitability and performance, reflecting how much money the company makes for each share of stock.
Revenue
Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to generate sales and expand its market presence, which is vital for long-term success.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
2Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+3.60%
Avg Stock Reaction
+1.51%
In Q1-2026, Moody's reported an EPS of $4.33, slightly exceeding analyst expectations. The company showed resilience in a challenging economic environment, although revenue details were not disclosed.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect Moody's to report strong earnings, driven by continued demand for credit ratings and data analytics. The consensus EPS estimate is $4.24, with revenue anticipated at $2.1 billion.
Bull Case
If Moody's can exceed the EPS estimate and demonstrate robust revenue growth, it could signal strong market demand and operational efficiency, boosting investor confidence.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company falls short of expectations or provides weak guidance, it may raise concerns about its growth prospects in a potentially slowing economy.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$4.24EPS is a key indicator of profitability and performance, reflecting how much money the company makes for each share of stock.
Revenue
$2.1BRevenue growth indicates the company's ability to generate sales and expand its market presence, which is vital for long-term success.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will Moody's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $4.24?
Exceeding this estimate could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.
Q2
What guidance will Moody's provide for future revenue growth?
Guidance on revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's outlook in a potentially challenging economic environment.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate Moody's ability to capitalize on increasing demand for credit ratings and analytics, especially in a volatile market.
Supporting Evidence
Moody's has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating strong operational performance.
The options market suggests a significant move is expected, which could reflect underlying volatility not captured in current estimates.
Key Risk
If the company reports an EPS significantly above $4.24, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as it will reflect Moody's ability to navigate a changing economic landscape and maintain growth.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $4.30 or higher, along with strong revenue growth, would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $4.10 could signal weakness and confirm the bear case.
Implied Move
±5%
Historical Avg
±3.1%
The options market is pricing in a potential stock move of 5% in either direction following the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±5.0% while MCO has averaged ±3.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Moody's beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 3.2%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may react neutrally as investors weigh future prospects.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 1.85% following such outcomes.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
MEDPACE HLDGS INC
Jul 20, 2026