Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
EPS actual
$0.73
EPS est.
$0.67
EPS surprise
+8.96%
1-day move
+2.98%
Mondelez International reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which led to a positive stock reaction, increasing by nearly 3%. However, without revenue figures or management commentary, it's difficult to assess the overall performance and future outlook. Investors may be encouraged by the EPS beat, but the lack of additional context leaves some uncertainty.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.73 | N/A | +8.96% |
| Revenue | N/A | N/A | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±3.5%
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a leading global snack company known for its popular brands like Oreo and Cadbury. Operating in the consumer staples sector, Mondelez plays a crucial role in the packaged foods industry, catering to the growing demand for convenient and tasty snacks.
Last quarter
In Q1 2026, Mondelez reported an EPS of $0.67, beating expectations by 9.66%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.95% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
6Q
EPS beat rate
88%
Avg EPS surprise
+7.44%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.27%
Overall, analysts expect Mondelez to continue its trend of beating EPS estimates, given its strong historical performance.
Bull case
If Mondelez delivers strong revenue growth alongside its EPS beat, it could signal robust demand for its products and lead to a significant stock price increase.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or provides cautious guidance, it may lead to a negative reaction in the stock price.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$0.70EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales and expand its market share, which is vital for long-term success.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What will be the reported EPS for Q2-2026?
Given Mondelez's strong track record of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial for investor confidence.
Q2
How is Mondelez addressing competition in the snack food market?
Understanding the company's strategy to maintain or grow its market share will be key for assessing its future performance.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate Mondelez's ability to innovate and capture market share in the competitive snack segment, especially with new product launches.
Supporting evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting stronger underlying performance than analysts predict.
Options pricing indicates a larger expected move than historical averages, hinting at potential surprises.
Recent trends in consumer preferences favor snack foods, which could benefit Mondelez more than anticipated.
Key risk
If Mondelez's new product lines show stronger-than-expected sales, it could significantly alter revenue projections.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will hinge on Mondelez's ability to sustain its growth trajectory amidst competitive pressures.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.75 or higher would confirm strong demand and effective cost management.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.65 would raise concerns about profitability and market competitiveness.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±10.54%
Historical Avg
±1.6%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±10.5% while MDLZ has averaged ±1.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.2%
30d HV
20.7%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
89.44%
of float
Insider
0.24%
of float
Holders
2,484
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
105,969,321 sh · $6.3B
8.30%
0.0%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Mondelez beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.19%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.
Miss
A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of about 2.25%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns over future performance.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
0 buys·1 sell
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Market Share in Key Categories
Understanding market share helps gauge Mondelez's competitive position in the snack food industry.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
83,858,130 sh · $5.0B
6.57%
0.6%
Capital Research Global Investors
69,663,227 sh · $4.1B
5.46%
2.0%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
60,744,872 sh · $3.6B
4.76%
-2.2%
State Street Corporation
59,579,607 sh · $3.5B
4.67%
-3.6%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Aug 5, 2026 · disclosed Aug 10, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.