Equity Profile

MDLZ

Mondelez International, Inc.

Consumer StaplesPackaged Foods & Meats$81.1B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a global leader in the consumer staples sector, specializing in packaged foods and snacks....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Mondelez is managing costs and generating income.

Expected EPS of $0.70

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates how well the company is expanding its market share and responding to consumer demand.

Expected revenue growth of 5%

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MDLZ Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a global leader in the consumer staples sector, specializing in packaged foods and snacks. The company is known for its popular brands like Oreo, Cadbury, and Toblerone, which are staples in many households. As consumer spending patterns evolve, Mondelez's ability to innovate and adapt to market trends will be crucial for its growth.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+7.58%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Mondelez reported an EPS of $0.67, exceeding expectations by nearly 10%. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 2% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on innovation in product offerings.
Commitment to improving supply chain efficiency.
Plans to expand into emerging markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, analysts are cautiously optimistic about Mondelez's upcoming earnings, expecting continued growth driven by strong brand loyalty and effective cost management.

Bull Case

If Mondelez can deliver strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its gross margin, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

However, if the company fails to meet expectations on EPS or revenue growth, it could raise concerns about its ability to navigate rising costs and competition, potentially leading to a stock decline.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Expected EPS of $0.70

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Mondelez is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue Growth

Expected revenue growth of 5%

Revenue growth indicates how well the company is expanding its market share and responding to consumer demand.

Gross Margin

Expected gross margin of 36%

Gross margin reflects the efficiency of production and pricing strategies, which are vital in the competitive packaged foods industry.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS figure for Q2-2026?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial for investor confidence and stock performance.

How is Mondelez managing rising input costs?

With inflation impacting food prices, insights into cost management strategies will be critical for understanding future profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Mondelez's ability to innovate in response to changing consumer preferences, particularly in healthier snack options.

Supporting Evidence

Recent product launches have shown strong initial sales, indicating a shift in consumer demand.

Options pricing suggests a larger expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for surprise.

The company's focus on sustainability could resonate well with consumers, driving sales.

Key Risk

If Mondelez successfully launches new products that resonate with health-conscious consumers, it could significantly outperform current revenue expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on Mondelez's ability to balance growth with rising costs in a competitive environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.75 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.65 would raise concerns about the company's ability to manage costs effectively.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±10.54%

Historical Avg

±1.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±10.5% while MDLZ has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

20.7%

Calls (225K)P/C Ratio: 0.44Puts (81K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 27 (33%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 18 of 27 (67%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.6% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Mondelez beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.19%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.25%, reflecting investor concerns about the company's growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new product launches and their early sales performance.
2Insights into cost management strategies in light of inflation.
3Updates on market expansion efforts, especially in emerging markets.
4Any commentary on consumer trends and preferences in the snack category.
5Management's outlook on future earnings and growth strategies.

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Company Snapshot

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a global leader in the consumer staples sector, specializing in packaged foods and snacks....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Mondelez is managing costs and generating income.

Expected EPS of $0.70

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates how well the company is expanding its market share and responding to consumer demand.

Expected revenue growth of 5%

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MDLZ Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+7.58%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Mondelez reported an EPS of $0.67, exceeding expectations by nearly 10%. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 2% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on innovation in product offerings.
Commitment to improving supply chain efficiency.
Plans to expand into emerging markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, analysts are cautiously optimistic about Mondelez's upcoming earnings, expecting continued growth driven by strong brand loyalty and effective cost management.

Bull Case

If Mondelez can deliver strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its gross margin, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Expected EPS of $0.70

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Mondelez is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue Growth

Expected revenue growth of 5%

Revenue growth indicates how well the company is expanding its market share and responding to consumer demand.

Gross Margin

Expected gross margin of 36%

Gross margin reflects the efficiency of production and pricing strategies, which are vital in the competitive packaged foods industry.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS figure for Q2-2026?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial for investor confidence and stock performance.

How is Mondelez managing rising input costs?

With inflation impacting food prices, insights into cost management strategies will be critical for understanding future profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Mondelez's ability to innovate in response to changing consumer preferences, particularly in healthier snack options.

Supporting Evidence

Recent product launches have shown strong initial sales, indicating a shift in consumer demand.

Options pricing suggests a larger expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for surprise.

The company's focus on sustainability could resonate well with consumers, driving sales.

Key Risk

If Mondelez successfully launches new products that resonate with health-conscious consumers, it could significantly outperform current revenue expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on Mondelez's ability to balance growth with rising costs in a competitive environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.75 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.65 would raise concerns about the company's ability to manage costs effectively.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±10.54%

Historical Avg

±1.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±10.5% while MDLZ has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

20.7%

Calls (225K)P/C Ratio: 0.44Puts (81K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 27 (33%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Mondelez beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.19%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.25%, reflecting investor concerns about the company's growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new product launches and their early sales performance.
2Insights into cost management strategies in light of inflation.
3Updates on market expansion efforts, especially in emerging markets.
4Any commentary on consumer trends and preferences in the snack category.
5Management's outlook on future earnings and growth strategies.