Post-earnings recap
Reported
Fri, May 1, 2026
EPS actual
$1.38
EPS est.
$1.01
EPS surprise
+36.23%
1-day move
-4.46%
Magna International's strong EPS performance indicates better-than-expected profitability for the quarter. However, the stock fell by 4.46%, suggesting that investors may have had lower expectations for revenue or other factors not captured in the earnings report. The lack of guidance and management commentary may also contribute to investor uncertainty.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.38 | $1.01 | +36.23% |
| Revenue | N/A | $10.3B | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Magna International Inc. is a major player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, providing a wide range of components and systems for vehicle manufacturers. With a market cap of $17 billion, the company is influenced by trends in consumer spending and the automotive industry's shift towards electric vehicles and advanced technologies.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, Magna reported an EPS of $2.18, significantly exceeding estimates and leading to a strong stock performance. This positive surprise may set a high bar for the upcoming earnings report.
EPS beat streak
5Q
EPS beat rate
75%
Avg EPS surprise
+12.62%
Avg 1-day reaction
+1.91%
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Magna's upcoming earnings, expecting solid EPS and revenue figures. However, there are concerns about potential supply chain issues and market competition.
Bull case
If Magna can leverage its recent strong performance and meet or exceed EPS expectations, it could see a significant boost in stock price.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or faces unexpected challenges, it could lead to a negative market reaction.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$1.01EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus reflects market expectations for Magna's financial performance.
Revenue
$10.3BRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand for its products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will EPS meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $1.01?
This figure is crucial as it will determine investor sentiment and could significantly impact stock performance.
Q2
How does Magna plan to address any supply chain challenges?
Given the current market conditions, any insights into supply chain management will be closely scrutinized by investors.
—
Est. EPS
$1.90
Est. Rev
$1.0B
Impl. Move
±24.1%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Magna's ability to capitalize on recent demand trends in the automotive sector, particularly for electric vehicle components.
Supporting evidence
Recent strong EPS surprises indicate that Magna may be outperforming expectations.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a positive surprise.
Key risk
If Magna's revenue growth exceeds $10.6B, it could challenge the cautious outlook currently held by analysts.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is weighing Magna's ability to sustain its recent performance against potential external challenges.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.94 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential underlying issues.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±8.87%
Historical Avg
±6.0%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move in either direction following the earnings report, indicating uncertainty among investors.
Options are pricing ±8.9% while MGA has averaged ±6.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.5%
30d HV
37.9%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
77.01%
of float
Insider
5.52%
of float
Holders
757
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Pzena Investment Management LLC
23,882,824 sh · $1.6B
9.02%
-5.7%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Magna beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 5.20%, confirming positive market sentiment.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors digest management's commentary.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of around 2.20%, reflecting disappointment among investors.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
0 buys·1 sell
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Royal Bank of Canada
10,833,542 sh · $704.5M
4.09%
5.1%
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management, LLC
8,795,761 sh · $572.0M
3.32%
-10.7%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
7,977,689 sh · $518.8M
3.01%
-1.2%
Bank of Montreal /CAN/
6,156,991 sh · $400.4M
2.32%
9.2%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 10, 2026 · disclosed Jul 17, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.