Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
EPS actual
$0.60
EPS est.
$0.59
EPS surprise
+2.21%
1-day move
-0.32%
Monster Beverage's strong earnings report reflects robust growth, particularly in international markets, which now account for a significant portion of sales. Despite the positive results, the stock dipped slightly by 0.32%, possibly due to profit-taking or market reactions to the lack of forward guidance. The company's plans for selective price increases may help offset rising costs, particularly in aluminum, as they continue to expand their market presence in the energy drink category.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.60 | N/A | +2.21% |
| Revenue | $2.54 billion | N/A | N/A |
| Year-over-Year Sales Growth | 20.2% | N/A | N/A |
| International Sales Growth | 34.6% | N/A | N/A |
Management expressed confidence in the company's performance, highlighting strong sales growth across all regions. They noted the success in international markets and the ongoing expansion of product offerings.
The energy drink category continues to grow, with Monster gaining market share.
We are planning selective price increases to manage cost inflation.
—
Est. EPS
$0.12
Est. Rev
$656M
Impl. Move
±21.3%
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is a leading player in the consumer staples sector, specifically in the soft drinks and non-alcoholic beverages industry. Known for its energy drinks, Monster has gained popularity among consumers seeking energy-boosting options, making it a significant player in the growing beverage market.
Last quarter
In Q1-2026, Monster reported an EPS of $0.58, surpassing expectations by 9.02%. However, the stock experienced a slight decline of 1.59% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
6Q
EPS beat rate
75%
Avg EPS surprise
+3.71%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.02%
Overall, Wall Street is cautiously optimistic about Monster's upcoming earnings, especially after a series of EPS beats in previous quarters. However, concerns about market saturation and competition remain.
Bull case
If Monster continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong sales growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive market reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of declining market share, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors.
Key metrics to watch
EPS Growth
Expected to be around $0.58.Earnings per share (EPS) growth is crucial as it reflects the company's profitability and operational efficiency.
Market Share
No specific estimate available.Understanding changes in market share can indicate how well Monster is competing against rivals in the energy drink segment.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What is the expected EPS for this quarter, and how does it compare to last quarter's $0.58?
EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and any significant change could impact investor sentiment.
Q2
What insights can management provide about market share trends in the energy drink sector?
Understanding market share dynamics is crucial for assessing Monster's competitive position and future growth potential.
Why consensus could be wrong
The market may be underestimating Monster's ability to capture new consumers through innovative product launches, which could drive stronger-than-expected sales growth.
Supporting evidence
Recent trends show increasing demand for energy drinks among younger demographics, which Monster is targeting.
The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect more volatility than historical averages suggest.
Key risk
If Monster's new product launches significantly outperform expectations, it could lead to a reevaluation of growth projections.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is pivotal as it will indicate whether Monster can maintain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition.
Bull confirmed if
Delivering an EPS of $0.60 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and growth.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.55 would raise concerns about profitability and market competitiveness.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±12.46%
Historical Avg
±1.2%
The options market is pricing in a significant move of over 12%, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±12.5% while MNST has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.3%
30d HV
42.3%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples
Fade rate: 8 of 27 (30%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 19 of 27 (70%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
69.55%
of float
Insider
28.30%
of float
Holders
1,915
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
120,058,350 sh · $5.1B
12.26%
-4.7%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Monster beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +1.71%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In line / cautious
An in-line report may lead to muted reactions, with investors closely analyzing management's commentary for future guidance.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential average one-day decline of +0.17%, raising concerns about future growth.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
2
2 buys·0 sells
Members
2
House only
Est. Notional
$2,002.00–$30,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Sales Volume
No specific estimate available.Sales volume is a key indicator of consumer demand and can impact revenue growth.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
91,365,464 sh · $3.9B
9.33%
0.6%
State Street Corporation
72,165,202 sh · $3.1B
7.37%
-4.9%
Invesco Ltd.
65,370,958 sh · $2.8B
6.67%
-3.4%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
59,439,586 sh · $2.5B
6.07%
4.7%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net buying
1 trade
Net buying
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 17, 2026 · disclosed Aug 10, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Jun 17, 2026 · disclosed Jul 26, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.